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Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard
Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard
03.08.2026 10:30 UTC Match prediction

Paszun A - Falkowska W

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard
Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard hard 03.08.2026 10:30 UTC Finished
03.08.2026 10:30 UTC Finished
P
Paszun A
F
Falkowska W
0:2
Odds
P1 6.60 14.3% BetBoom
P2 1.10 85.7% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Paszun A meet Falkowska W on August 3, 2026 in the Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 17% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Falkowska W — 83%

Pure model vs market (2 · Falkowska W): model 61% · market 85% Δ −24 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Paszun A17.4%
market15%
2 · Falkowska W ✓ Pick82.6%
market85%

Model estimate: win Paszun A 17.4%, win Falkowska W 82.6%. Model favourite — Falkowska W.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paszun A - Falkowska W August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Falkowska W.

Line favourite market consensus: Falkowska W. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 6.60 / 2 1.10
  • Glicko: Paszun A 17.4% / Falkowska W 82.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.0% 3 books
1 15.1%
2 ✓ Pick 84.9%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 03.08.2026 10:30 UTC
Market 1 14.3% @ 6.60 / 2 85.7% @ 1.10
Coverage hard
Form 4 matches
Match center

Paszun A - Falkowska W

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 82.6% fact: away hit / ROI 10.0% / Brier 0.061 / LogLoss 0.192
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 53.9% fact: away hit / ROI 10.0% / Brier 0.425 / LogLoss 0.618
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Paszun A 15.1% 17.4%
Falkowska W 84.9% 82.6% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 17.4% / 82.6% probabilities
Rating 1,322 / 1,929 Paszun A / Falkowska W
RD 290 / 148 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 741-1,902 / 1,633-2,226 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.09 market consensus · no value · model 82.6%
1 6.27 market consensus · no value · model 17.4%
Total
Over 18 1.77 market consensus · line only
Over 18.5 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
— 2.02 49.5% —
— — 1.78 56.2%
1.77 56.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.74 57.5%
— 1.74 57.5% —
— — 1.89 52.9%
1.98 50.5% 2.07 48.3% 1.94 51.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 18 — — 1.77 56.5%
Over 18.5 1.92 52.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.80 55.6%
Under 18 — — 1.91 52.4%
Under 18.5 1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0% 1.87 53.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
6.60 15.2% 6.20 16.1% 6.00 16.7%
1.09 91.7% 1.10 90.9% 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Paszun A
L
29.07 08:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W15 Bielsko Biala (Poland), clay
Paszun A 0:2 Gorska D
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Falkowska W
L L W W W
29.07 08:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W50 Dublin (Ireland), hard
Falkowska W 1:2 Noel K. 🇫🇷
15.07 09:00 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Istanbul 2 (Turkey), hard
Falkowska W 1:2 Vandevinkel Kh. 🇧🇪Vandevinkel Kh. 🇧🇪
14.07 09:30 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Istanbul 2 (Turkey), hard
Falkowska W 2:1 Dilek D. 🇹🇷
13.07 08:00 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Istanbul 2 (Turkey) - Qualifying, hard
Falkowska W 2:0 Panshina V. (World)Panshina V. (World)
12.07 09:30 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Istanbul 2 (Turkey) - Qualifying, hard
Falkowska W 2:0 Zelinskaya D. (World)
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.6 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPaszun A - Falkowska W

Paszun A
0 matches total
Falkowska W
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history