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Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard
Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard
04.08.2026 13:30 UTC

Pawlikowska Z - Karatancheva L

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard
Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard hard 04.08.2026 13:30 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 13:30 UTC Finished
P
Pawlikowska Z
L W W L W
K
Karatancheva L
W L W W L
-:-
Odds
P1 2.70 34.0% BetBoom
P2 1.39 66.0% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Pawlikowska Z go head-to-head with Karatancheva L on August 4, 2026 in the Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Pawlikowska Z 3-0-2, Karatancheva L 3-0-2. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Pawlikowska Z — 52%

1 · Pawlikowska Z51.9%
2 · Karatancheva L48.1%

Model estimate: win Pawlikowska Z 51.9%, win Karatancheva L 48.1%. Model favourite — Pawlikowska Z.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Pawlikowska Z (odds2.70) Score 2:1 confidence 52%
  • • Pawlikowska Z
  • • 🇵🇱 — Karatancheva L
  • • 🇧🇴 (tennis)
  • • Pawlikowska Z
  • • 🇵🇱: forma PVPVV (3-2)
  • • Karatancheva L
  • • 🇧🇴: forma VPVVP (3-2)
  • • Model backs Pawlikowska Z
  • • 🇵🇱: probability 52% vs 37% on the line (odds 2.70)
  • • edge over the line +15 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pawlikowska Z - Karatancheva L August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Pawlikowska Z. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 9.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 2 books · best price +44.4%
1 61.8%
2 38.2%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Pawlikowska Z
6-4WWWLWLLWWL
scored 1.3conceded 1.1
Karatancheva L

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 04.08.2026 13:30 UTC
Market 1 89.6% @ 1.04 / 2 10.4% @ 9.00
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Pawlikowska Z - Karatancheva L

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Pawlikowska Z 34.0% 51.9% Glicko contrarian
Karatancheva L 66.0% 48.1% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 51.9% / 48.1% probabilities
Rating 1,624 / 1,637 Pawlikowska Z / Karatancheva L
RD 168 / 145 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,288-1,959 / 1,347-1,928 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · weak value +333.3% · model 48.1%
1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 51.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 18.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.68 59.5%
1.70 58.8%
1.37 73.0%
1.25 80.0%
1.80 55.6%
3.10 32.3%
1.85 54.1%
1.77 56.5%
1.90 52.6%
2.00 50.0%
2.10 47.6%
2.20 45.5%
2.05 48.8%
2.02 49.5%
2.85 35.1%
3.55 28.2%
1.90 52.6%
1.32 75.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 18.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 19.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 20.5 3.40 29.4%
Over 21.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 22.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 23.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 24.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 25.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 26.5 1.92 52.1%
Under 18.5 3.15 31.8%
Under 19.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 20.5 1.27 78.7%
Under 21.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 22.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 23.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 24.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 25.5 1.77 56.5%
Under 26.5 1.78 56.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.04 96.2% 2.70 37.0%
9.00 11.1% 1.39 71.9%
Match center
Pawlikowska Z
L W W L W
2026-02-03 2026 Mumbai, India
Pawlikowska Z Pawlikowska Z 0:2 Vandewinkel H
2026-02-01 2026 Mumbai, India, Qualifying
Pawlikowska Z Pawlikowska Z 2:1 Kulikova A
2026-01-31 2026 Mumbai, India, Qualifying
Pawlikowska Z Pawlikowska Z 2:1 Mundhe P A
2024-12-20 2024 India 11A, Women Singles
Pawlikowska Z Naklo T 2:0 Pawlikowska Z
2024-12-19 2024 India 11A, Women Singles
Pawlikowska Z Pawlikowska Z 2:1 Bhamidipaty S R
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Karatancheva L
W L W W L
2026-08-02 2026 Warsaw, Poland, Qualifying
Karatancheva L 2:0 Hurkacz N Karatancheva L
2026-03-31 2026 Bogota, Colombia
Karatancheva L 1:2 Lepchenko V Karatancheva L
2026-03-29 2026 Bogota, Colombia, Qualifying
Tona M 0:2 Karatancheva L Karatancheva L
2026-03-28 2026 Bogota, Colombia, Qualifying
Zhao C 0:2 Karatancheva L Karatancheva L
2026-03-11 2026 Antalya 3, Turkiye
Charaeva A 2:0 Karatancheva L Karatancheva L
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage