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Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard
Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard
03.08.2026 08:00 UTC

Pawlikowska Z. 🇵🇱 - Karatancheva L

Pawlikowska Z. 🇵🇱 take on Karatancheva L on August 3, 2026 in the Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Pawlikowska Z. 🇵🇱 — 52%

1 · Pawlikowska Z. 🇵🇱51.9%
2 · Karatancheva L48.1%

Model estimate: win Pawlikowska Z. 🇵🇱 51.9%, win Karatancheva L 48.1%. Model favourite — Pawlikowska Z. 🇵🇱.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Pawlikowska Z. 🇵🇱 (odds2.70) Score 2:1 confidence 52%
  • • Pawlikowska Z
  • • 🇵🇱 — Karatancheva L
  • • 🇧🇴 (tennis)
  • • Pawlikowska Z
  • • 🇵🇱: forma PVPVV (3-2)
  • • Karatancheva L
  • • 🇧🇴: forma VPVVP (3-2)
  • • Model backs Pawlikowska Z
  • • 🇵🇱: probability 52% vs 37% on the line (odds 2.70)
  • • edge over the line +15 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pawlikowska Z. 🇵🇱 - Karatancheva L August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Karatancheva L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.70 / 2 1.39

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 34.0%
2 66.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Pawlikowska Z. 🇵🇱
6-4WWWLWLLWWL
scored 1.3conceded 1.1
Karatancheva L

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard
Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland), hard hard 03.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
03.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
P
Pawlikowska Z. 🇵🇱
K
Karatancheva L
-:-
Odds
P1 2.70 34.0% BetBoom
P2 1.39 66.0% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 03.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 34.0% @ 2.70 / 2 66.0% @ 1.39
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Pawlikowska Z. 🇵🇱 - Karatancheva L

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Pawlikowska Z. 🇵🇱 34.0% 51.9% Glicko contrarian
Karatancheva L 66.0% 48.1% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 51.9% / 48.1% probabilities
Rating 1,624 / 1,637 Pawlikowska Z. 🇵🇱 / Karatancheva L
RD 168 / 145 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,288-1,959 / 1,346-1,927 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.39 market consensus · no value · model 48.1%
1 2.70 market consensus · value +40.1% · model 51.9%
Total
Over 21.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Under 21.5 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.81 55.3%
1.86 53.8%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 21.5 1.86 53.8%
Under 21.5 1.81 55.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
2.70 37.0%
1.39 71.9%
Match center
Pawlikowska Z. 🇵🇱
L W L W W
30.07 11:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W50 Dublin (Ireland), hard
Pawlikowska Z. 🇵🇱 0:2 Allen V. 🇬🇧
29.07 12:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W50 Dublin (Ireland), hard
Pawlikowska Z. 🇵🇱 2:0 Visskher S. Dzh. 🇳🇱
10.07 05:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W35 Don Benito (Spain), hard
Pawlikowska Z. 🇵🇱 0:2 Hruncakova V. 🇸🇰
09.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W35 Don Benito (Spain), hard
Pawlikowska Z. 🇵🇱 2:0 Teixido Garcia M. 🇪🇸
08.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W35 Don Benito (Spain), hard
Pawlikowska Z. 🇵🇱 2:0 Lazarenko K. 🇺🇦
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Karatancheva L
W L W W L
02.08 08:00 UTC+0 Challenger Women - Singles: Warsaw (Poland) - Qualifying, hard
Karatancheva L 2:0 Hurkacz N. 🇵🇱
17.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W35 Torino (Italy), clay
Karatancheva L 0:2 Richchi B. 🇮🇹
16.07 05:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W35 Torino (Italy), clay
Karatancheva L 2:0 Maduzzi G. 🇮🇹
14.07 10:30 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W35 Torino (Italy), clay
Karatancheva L 2:0 Tsukkini Ar. 🇮🇹
11.07 08:00 UTC+0 ITF Women - Singles: W75 The Hague (Netherlands), clay
Karatancheva L 1:2 Boshkovich L. 🇭🇷
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage