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ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
04.08.2026 14:15 UTC Match prediction

Dougaz A - Basic M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki hard 04.08.2026 14:15 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 14:15 UTC Finished
D
Dougaz A
W W L L W
B
Basic M
L W L W L
2:0 6:1 6:4
1 2 GP
Dougaz A 6 6 2
Basic M 1 4 0
1 2
Odds
P1 1.18 78.5% BetBoom
P2 4.30 21.5% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Dougaz A meet Basic M on August 4, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki.

Recent form (W-D-L): Dougaz A 3-0-2, Basic M 2-0-3. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 77% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Dougaz A — 77%

Pure model vs market (1 · Dougaz A): model 63% · market 85% Δ −22 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Dougaz A ✓ Pick77.1%
market85%
2 · Basic M22.9%
market15%

Model estimate: win Dougaz A 77.1%, win Basic M 22.9%. Model favourite — Dougaz A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dougaz A - Basic M August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Dougaz A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Dougaz A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 11.50
  • Glicko: Dougaz A 77.1% / Basic M 22.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.4% 2 books · best price +7.3%
1 ✓ Pick 85.2%
2 14.8%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.30 ↓ 1.16
Winner 2 3.30 ↑ 4.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Dougaz A
2-8LLLLWLWLLL
scored 1.0conceded 1.7
Basic M

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 04.08.2026 14:15 UTC
Market 1 91.9% @ 1.02 / 2 8.1% @ 11.50
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Dougaz A - Basic M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Dougaz A Basic M Result
Set 1 6 1 6:1
Set 2 6 4 6:4
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dougaz A 78.6% 77.1% market and model agree
Basic M 21.4% 22.9%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 77.1% / 22.9% probabilities
Rating 1,957 / 1,565 Dougaz A / Basic M
RD 152 / 239 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,652-2,261 / 1,086-2,043 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.30 market consensus · no value · model 22.9%
1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 77.1%
Total
Over 15.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 16.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.28 78.1% —
1.40 71.4% —
1.70 58.8% 2.01 49.8%
1.06 94.3% —
1.02 98.0% —
12.00 8.3% —
3.45 29.0% —
— 1.75 57.1%
3.20 31.3% —
2.70 37.0% —
2.02 49.5% —
6.70 14.9% —
10.00 10.0% —
1.01 99.0% —
1.25 80.0% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 15.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 16.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 17.5 9.50 10.5%
Over 18.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 19.5 11.50 8.7%
Over 20.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 21.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 22.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 23.5 2.70 37.0%
Under 15.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 16.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 17.5 1.02 98.0%
Under 18.5 1.53 65.4%
Under 19.5 1.01 99.0%
Under 20.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 21.5 1.68 59.5%
Under 22.5 1.50 66.7%
Under 23.5 1.40 71.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.02 98.0% 1.18 84.8%
11.50 8.7% 4.30 23.3%
Match center
Dougaz A
W W L L W
2026-08-03 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland, Qualifying
Dougaz A Sakellaridis D 0:2 Dougaz A
2026-08-02 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland, Qualifying
Dougaz A Bojarski A 1:2 Dougaz A
2026-07-25 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Dougaz A Vukic A 2:0 Dougaz A
2026-06-24 2026 Wimbledon, London, GB, Qualifying, 1st - 2nd Round
Dougaz A Dougaz A 0:2 Sakamoto R
2026-06-22 2026 Wimbledon, London, GB, Qualifying, 1st - 2nd Round
Dougaz A Chidekh C 0:2 Dougaz A
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Basic M
L W L W L
2026-08-03 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland, Qualifying
Basic M 0:1 Cizek J Basic M
2026-08-02 2026 Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland, Qualifying
Basic M 2:0 Blus A Basic M
2026-07-27 2026 Samsun, Turkiye, Qualifying
Basic M 1:2 Nakagawa S Basic M
2026-07-26 2026 Samsun, Turkiye, Qualifying
Basic M 2:0 Ozdemir S M Basic M
2026-05-10 2026 Zagreb, Croatia, Qualifying
Nedic A 2:0 Basic M Basic M
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDougaz A - Basic M

Dougaz A
0 matches total
Basic M
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history