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Challenger Men - Singles: Grodzisk Mazowiecki (Poland), hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Grodzisk Mazowiecki (Poland), hard

Ivashka I. (World) - Mayot H

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Grodzisk Mazowiecki (Poland), hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Grodzisk Mazowiecki (Poland), hard hard 06.08.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
06.08.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
Ivashka I. (World)
Ivashka I. (World)
Rank #402 Elo 120
W W W L L W L L
M
Mayot H
Rank #255 Elo 217
L L W L W W W W
-:-
Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Ivashka I Mayot H
Win % 51.8% 52.1%
Hard % 53.8% 53%
Clay % 43.5% 52.1%
Grass % 51.9% 47.6%
Deciding set % 49.5% 46.8%
Tie-breaks % 49% 42.6%
Titles (total) 2 0
Last 10 WWWWLLWWWW LWLLWWLLLW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#402 Rating #255
32 Age 24
1.93m Height (cm) 1.80m
87kg Weight (kg) 80kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Ivashka I. (World) Mayot H
Aces per match 4.21 4.43
Double faults per match 2.92 2.67
Breaks per match 5.25 2.05

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Ilya Ivashka
Rank:402 Elo: 120
W W W L L W L L
Harold Mayot
Rank:255 Elo: 217
L L W L W W W W
Elo favourite:Mayot H (edge +97 Elo)

Hard

Ilya IvashkaHarold Mayot
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 68.2% 15 / 22 Matches 66.7% 8 / 12 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 66.7% 18 / 27 Matches 66.7% 24 / 36 Matches

Clay

Ilya IvashkaHarold Mayot
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches 25.0% 2 / 8 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches 25.0% 2 / 8 Matches

Grass

Ilya IvashkaHarold Mayot
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Ilya Ivashka Harold Mayot
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 63.0% 17 / 27 Matches 47.8% 11 / 23 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 62.5% 20 / 32 Matches 56.0% 28 / 50 Matches
Current rank 402 255

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Ilya Ivashka Harold Mayot
Prize money (career) $3,337,293 USD $820,692 USD
Rating 402 255
Age 32 24
Height 1.93m 1.80m
Weight 87kg 80kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Ilya Ivashka Harold Mayot
Match Wins 63 % 48 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 65 % 48 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) N/A 50 %
Wins in Straight Sets 41 % 30 %
Wins From Behind 9 % 0 %
Won At Least 1 Set 74 % 70 %
Set 1 Win 63 % 57 %
Set 2 Win 52 % 43 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Ilya Ivashka Harold Mayot Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.11 9.7 9.41
Over 6.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 7.5 73 % 90 % 82 %
Over 8.5 62 % 81 % 72 %
Over 9.5 31 % 57 % 44 %
Over 10.5 15 % 19 % 17 %
Over 11.5 15 % 19 % 17 %

Aces

Ilya Ivashka Harold Mayot Match total
Aces Per Match 4.21 4.43 8.64
Most Aces in a match 42 % 62 % N/A
1+ 96 % 90 % 98 %
2+ 71 % 81 % 93 %
3+ 67 % 62 % 87 %
4+ 58 % 62 % 83 %
5+ 38 % 48 % 79 %

Breaks

Ilya Ivashka Harold Mayot Match total
Breaks Per Match 5.25 2.05 7.3
Over 0.5 96 % 95 % 100 %
Over 1.5 96 % 90 % 100 %
Over 2.5 96 % 86 % 95 %
Over 3.5 50 % 29 % 93 %
Over 4.5 50 % 0 % 63 %
Over 5.5 46 % 0 % 48 %

Tie-breaks

Ilya Ivashka Harold Mayot Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.38 0.38 0.38
Over 0.5 31 % 29 % 30 %
Over 1.5 8 % 10 % 9 %
Under 0.5 69 % 71 % 30 %
Under 1.5 92 % 90 % 9 %

Double faults

Ilya Ivashka Harold Mayot Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.92 2.67 5.59
Over 0.5 (1+) 100 % 90 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 75 % 71 % 98 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 54 % 57 % 92 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 29 % 29 % 76 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 13 % 19 % 55 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 4 % 0 % 45 %

Net points

Ilya Ivashka Harold Mayot Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 6.62 10.05 16.67
Over 4.5 (5+) 75 % 90 % 83 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 65 % 70 % 68 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 55 % 70 % 63 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 55 % 50 % 53 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 50 % 50 % 50 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 35 % 30 % 33 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.66 57.0% BetBoom
P2 2.20 43.0% BetBoom

Ivashka I. (World) take on Mayot H on August 6, 2026 in the Challenger Men - Singles: Grodzisk Mazowiecki (Poland), hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ivashka I. (World) 1-0-0, Mayot H 1-0-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Ivashka I. (World)57%

Pure model vs market (1 · Ivashka I. (World)): model 55% · market 57% Δ −2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Ivashka I. (World) ✓ Pick56.7%
2 · Mayot H43.3%

Model estimate: win Ivashka I. (World) 56.7%, win Mayot H 43.3%. Model favourite — Ivashka I. (World).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Ivashka I. (World) (odds1.64) Score 2:1 confidence 57%
  • Ivashka I
  • (World) — Mayo G
  • 🇫🇷 (tennis)
  • Ivashka I
  • (World): forma VVVPP (3-2)
  • Mayo G
  • 🇫🇷: forma VPPVV (3-2)
  • Model backs Ivashka I
  • (World): probability 57% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.64)
  • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ivashka I. (World) - Mayot H August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Ivashka I. (World). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.66 / 2 2.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9% 2 books · best price +1.8%
1 ✓ Pick 56.9%
2 43.1%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Ivashka I. (World)
57%
1.66
Mayot H
43%
2.20
Total
Over 22.5
48%
1.94
Under 22.5
52%
1.79

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Ivashka I. (World)

no data

Mayot H
4-6LLLLWLWWWL
scored 1.1conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated06.08.2026 00:15 UTC
1 38%
2 62% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:2
Per AI data H2H: 0:0
Claude updated06.08.2026 00:20 UTC
1 56% ✓ favourite
2 44%
Score2:1 Total games: Over 21.5 Bet:Over 21.5 games (ot 1.60); 1 Ivashko tolko ot 1.85

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 38% 62% 1:2 Over 21.5
Claude 56% 44% 2:1 Over 21.5 Over 21.5 games (ot 1.60); 1 Ivashko tolko ot 1.85
Match center
Start 06.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Market 1 57.0% @ 1.66 / 2 43.0% @ 2.20
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Mayot H 53%
📐 Math model Ivashka I. (World) 57%
💹 Market Ivashka I. (World) 57%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Ivashka I. (World) - Mayot H

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ivashka I. (World) 56.9% 54.0% market and model agree
Mayot H 43.1% 46.0% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko56.7% · +Elo prior (weight0.35).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 56.7% / 43.3% probabilities
Rating 1,838 / 1,765 Ivashka I. (World) / Mayot H
RD 136 / 192 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,566-2,109 / 1,381-2,149 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.15 market consensus · no value · model 43.3%
1 1.63 market consensus · no value · model 56.7%
Total
Over 22.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
Under 22.5 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.81 55.3%
1.92 52.1%
1.91 52.4%
1.78 56.2%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 22.5 1.94 51.6% 1.93 51.8%
Under 22.5 1.79 55.9% 1.77 56.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.66 60.2% 1.60 62.5%
2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5%
Match center
Ivashka I. (World)
W
04.08 13:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Grodzisk Mazowiecki (Poland), hard
Ivashka I. (World) 2:1 Kirkin E. 🇹🇷
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Mayot H
W
04.08 09:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Grodzisk Mazowiecki (Poland), hard
Mayot H 2:0 Pechonka F. 🇵🇱
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage