Istanbul 2, Turkiye07.08.2026 13:30 UTCNot started
07.08.2026 13:30 UTCNot started
Matsuda K
Rank #1156Elo 12
45Struggling Form
WWLLLLWL
Brouwer G
Rank #478Elo 93
69Average Form
LLLWLWLW
-:-
Preview
About the athletes
-Country-
#1156Rating#478
30Age25
1.91mHeight (cm)1.83m
73kgWeight (kg)73kg
LeftHandRight
-Seed-
-Coverage-
0H2H0
Serve and return stats
Matsuda K
Brouwer G
Aces per match
1.83
4.69
Double faults per match
5
1.46
Breaks per match
2
9
Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)
TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return
Gijs Brouwer
Rank:1156Elo: 12
WWLLLLWL
Koki Matsuda
Rank:478Elo: 93
LLLWLWLW
Elo favourite:Matsuda K(edge +81 Elo)
Hard
Gijs Brouwer
Koki Matsuda
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year
62.5% 5 / 8 Matches
72.4% 21 / 29 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months
62.5% 5 / 8 Matches
67.3% 35 / 52 Matches
Clay
Gijs Brouwer
Koki Matsuda
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year
0.0% 0 / 2 Matches
66.7% 2 / 3 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months
0.0% 0 / 2 Matches
66.7% 2 / 3 Matches
Grass
Gijs Brouwer
Koki Matsuda
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year
N/A 0 / 0 Matches
N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months
N/A 0 / 0 Matches
N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Source:tennisstats.com
H2H series (tennisstats)
Gijs Brouwer
Koki Matsuda
H2H wins
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Sets
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Wins this year
45.5% 5 / 11 Matches
69.2% 27 / 39 Matches
Wins in 12 mo.
45.5% 5 / 11 Matches
66.1% 41 / 62 Matches
Current rank
1156
478
Source: tennisstats.com
Profile and percentages (tennisstats)
Gijs Brouwer
Koki Matsuda
Prize money (career)
$785,988 USD
$17,456 USD
Rating
1156
478
Age
30
25
Height
1.91m
1.83m
Weight
73kg
73kg
Playing hand
Left-handed
Right-handed
Win percentage (match / set)
Gijs Brouwer
Koki Matsuda
Match Wins
45 %
69 %
Match Wins (3 Sets)
50 %
72 %
Wins in Straight Sets
27 %
54 %
Wins From Behind
14 %
29 %
Won At Least 1 Set
73 %
82 %
Set 1 Win
64 %
69 %
Set 2 Win
30 %
67 %
Set 3 Win
40 %
55 %
Source:tennisstats.com
Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)
Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.
Total games
Gijs Brouwer
Koki Matsuda
Match total
Average Games in a Set
9.36
9.64
9.5
Over 6.5
90 %
97 %
94 %
Over 7.5
90 %
88 %
89 %
Over 8.5
70 %
72 %
71 %
Over 9.5
50 %
47 %
49 %
Over 10.5
20 %
22 %
21 %
Over 11.5
20 %
22 %
21 %
Aces
Gijs Brouwer
Koki Matsuda
Match total
Aces Per Match
1.83
4.69
6.52
Most Aces in a match
17 %
54 %
N/A
1+
83 %
100 %
100 %
2+
67 %
85 %
92 %
3+
17 %
77 %
84 %
4+
17 %
69 %
76 %
5+
0 %
54 %
72 %
Breaks
Gijs Brouwer
Koki Matsuda
Match total
Breaks Per Match
2
9
11
Over 0.5
100 %
100 %
100 %
Over 1.5
50 %
100 %
100 %
Over 2.5
50 %
100 %
100 %
Over 3.5
17 %
100 %
100 %
Over 4.5
0 %
100 %
50 %
Over 5.5
0 %
100 %
50 %
Tie-breaks
Gijs Brouwer
Koki Matsuda
Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match
0
0.38
0.19
Over 0.5
0 %
34 %
17 %
Over 1.5
0 %
3 %
2 %
Under 0.5
100 %
66 %
17 %
Under 1.5
100 %
97 %
2 %
Double faults
Gijs Brouwer
Koki Matsuda
Match total
Double Faults Per Match
5
1.46
6.46
Over 0.5 (1+)
100 %
77 %
96 %
Over 1.5 (2+)
100 %
54 %
96 %
Over 2.5 (3+)
67 %
15 %
76 %
Over 3.5 (4+)
50 %
0 %
68 %
Over 4.5 (5+)
50 %
0 %
68 %
Over 5.5 (6+)
33 %
0 %
49 %
Net points
Gijs Brouwer
Koki Matsuda
Match total
Net Points Won Per Match
8.5
5.33
13.83
Over 4.5 (5+)
100 %
33 %
67 %
Over 5.5 (6+)
100 %
17 %
59 %
Over 6.5 (7+)
100 %
0 %
50 %
Over 7.5 (8+)
100 %
0 %
50 %
Over 8.5 (9+)
100 %
0 %
50 %
Over 9.5 (10+)
100 %
0 %
50 %
Source:tennisstats.com
Odds
P11.77
53.1% BetBoom
P22.00
47.0% BetBoom
Matsuda K take on Brouwer G on August 7, 2026 in the Istanbul 2, Turkiye, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Matsuda K 4-0-1, Brouwer G 1-1-3. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Matsuda K — 53%
Pure model vs market (1 · Matsuda K): model 51% · market 65%Δ −14 ppmodel estimates below the market
53%1
1 · Matsuda K53.0%
2 · Brouwer G47.0%
Model estimate: win Matsuda K 53.0%, win Brouwer G 47.0%. Model favourite — Matsuda K.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Matsuda K (odds1.69)Score 2:1confidence 53%
•Matsuda K: forma VVVVP (4-1)
•Brouver G: forma VV (2-0)
•liniya na pik P1 1.78→1.77 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
•Model backs Matsuda K: probability 53% vs 59% on the line (odds 1.69)
•no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Matsuda K - Brouwer G August 7, 2026
Tennis math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Matsuda K. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.40 / 2 2.70
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 7.2%
4 books · best price +2.1%
165.1%
234.9%
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P11.78↓ 1.77
Winner P21.98↑ 2.00
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
%
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Match result
Matsuda K
65%
1.46
Brouwer G
35%
2.75
Total
Over 9.5
53%
1.75
Under 9.5
47%
2.00
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
⚔
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Matsuda K
7-3WLLWWLWWWW
scored 1.7conceded 0.8
Brouwer G
3-7LLWLLWLLLW
scored 0.8conceded 1.6
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Match center
Start07.08.2026 13:30 UTC
Market1 65.9% @ 1.40 / 2 34.1% @ 2.70
Form5 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math modelMatsuda K 53%
💹 MarketMatsuda K 65%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Matsuda K - Brouwer G
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Matsuda K53.3%52.3%market and model agree
Brouwer G46.7%47.7%market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko53.0% · +Elo prior (weight0.34).
Tennis math model
P1 / P253.0% / 47.0%
probabilities
Rating1,823 / 1,875
Matsuda K / Brouwer G
RD104 / 218
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,615-2,031 / 1,439-2,310
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
22.70
Fonbet · weak value +26.9% · model 47.0%
11.40
Fonbet · no value · model 53.0%
Handicap
2 -0.52.00
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.51.72
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.53.25
market consensus · line only
Over 2.52.40
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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