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ITF M15 Heraklion 5 Men
ITF M15 Heraklion 5 Men Italy
14.04.2026 07:08 UTC
Finished

ITF M15 Heraklion 5 Men

Italy

Lars Aregger - Matyas Kozlovsky

Italy Tennis
Lars Aregger
Lars Aregger
0 : 2
Finished
Matyas Kozlovsky
Matyas Kozlovsky

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lars Aregger - Matyas Kozlovsky April 14, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Matyas Kozlovsky. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.36 / 2 1.53
  • Total 2.5: over probability 0.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.7%
1 39.3%
2 60.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 2

Main outcome
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 60.1%
Total Over 2.5
Score 1:2

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 14.04.2026 07:08 UTC
Match center

Lars Aregger - Matyas Kozlovsky

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Lars Aregger 39.3% -
Draw 0.0% -
Matyas Kozlovsky 60.7% - market favourite
Total 2.5 Over 0.0% - Under 0.0%
Model check - - Difference 0.00
Thin market consensus Market vs Glicko gap: 0.00

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.53 market consensus · line only
1 2.36 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome BetBoom
2.36 42.4%
1.53 65.4%
Match center
Lars Aregger
W W
13.04 08:00 UTC ITF M15 Heraklion 5 Men
Lars Aregger 2:1 Nicola Ion
12.04 06:30 UTC ITF M15 Heraklion 5 Men
Lars Aregger 2:1 Joseph Roboly
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Matyas Kozlovsky
W W
13.04 08:00 UTC ITF M15 Heraklion 5 Men
Matyas Kozlovsky 2:1 Sebastian Heinrich
12.04 06:30 UTC ITF M15 Heraklion 5 Men
Matyas Kozlovsky 2:0 Nicola Senn
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.5 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.