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ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard
05.08.2026 07:30 UTC

Kachmazov A. (World) - Fukuda S

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Kachmazov A. (World) face Fukuda S on August 5, 2026 in the ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard.

Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Kachmazov A. (World) — 64%

Pure model vs market (1 · Kachmazov A. (World)): model 41% · market 67% Δ −26 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Kachmazov A. (World) ✓ Pick64.3%
market67%
2 · Fukuda S35.7%
market33%

Model estimate: win Kachmazov A. (World) 64.3%, win Fukuda S 35.7%. Model favourite — Kachmazov A. (World).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Kachmazov A. (World) (odds1.37) Score 2:1 confidence 64%
  • • Kachmazov A
  • • (World) — Fukuda S
  • • 🇯🇵 (tennis)
  • • Fukuda S
  • • 🇯🇵: forma PVVPV (3-2)
  • • Model backs Kachmazov A
  • • (World): probability 64% vs 73% on the line (odds 1.37)
  • • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kachmazov A. (World) - Fukuda S August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Kachmazov A. (World). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.40 / 2 2.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0% 3 books · best price +2.9%
1 ✓ Pick 66.9%
2 33.1%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard hard 05.08.2026 07:30 UTC Not started
05.08.2026 07:30 UTC Not started
K
Kachmazov A. (World)
Fukuda S
Fukuda S
-:-
Odds
P1 1.40 67.4% BetBoom
P2 2.90 32.6% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 05.08.2026 07:30 UTC
Market 1 67.4% @ 1.40 / 2 32.6% @ 2.90
Coverage hard
Form 3 matches
Match center

Kachmazov A. (World) - Fukuda S

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kachmazov A. (World) 66.9% 64.3% market and model agree
Fukuda S 33.1% 35.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 64.3% / 35.7% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,862 Kachmazov A. (World) / Fukuda S
RD 350 / 133 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,596-2,128 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.80 market consensus · no value · model 35.7%
1 1.37 market consensus · no value · model 64.3%
Total
Over 20.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Under 20.5 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.80 55.6% 1.77 56.5%
1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
Over 20.5 1.77 56.5% 1.74 57.5%
Under 20.5 1.94 51.6% 1.91 52.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5%
2.90 34.5% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4%
Match center
Kachmazov A. (World)
L W W
31.07 04:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Kachmazov A. (World) 1:2 Shebekin G. (World)Shebekin G. (World)
30.07 03:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Kachmazov A. (World) 2:0 Petrov S. (World)
29.07 04:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Kachmazov A. (World) 2:0 Imai S. 🇯🇵Imai S. 🇯🇵
2 Wins
1 Losses
1.7 Sets won
0.7 Sets lost
67% Win percentage
Fukuda S
L W W L W
31.07 04:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Fukuda S 1:2 Shebekin G. (World)Shebekin G. (World)
30.07 03:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Fukuda S 2:0 Petrov S. (World)
29.07 04:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Fukuda S 2:0 Imai S. 🇯🇵Imai S. 🇯🇵
01.07 23:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Tokyo 3 (Japan), hard
Fukuda S 1:2 Shin S. 🇰🇷Shin S. 🇰🇷
30.06 23:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Tokyo 3 (Japan), hard
Fukuda S 2:0 Khonda NKhonda N
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage