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ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard

Samrej K - Pleshivtsev E. (World)

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction

Samrej K face Pleshivtsev E. (World) on August 4, 2026 in the ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard.

Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Samrej K57%

1 · Samrej K ✓ Pick56.5%
2 · Pleshivtsev E. (World)43.5%

Model estimate: win Samrej K 56.5%, win Pleshivtsev E. (World) 43.5%. Model favourite — Samrej K.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Samrej K (odds1.28) Score 2:1 confidence 57%
  • Samrey K
  • 🇹🇭 — Pleshivtsev E
  • (World) (tennis)
  • Samrey K
  • 🇹🇭: forma PVPVP (2-3)
  • Pleshivtsev E
  • (World): forma VP (1)
  • Model backs Samrey K
  • 🇹🇭: probability 57% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.28)
  • no edge over the line (-22 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Samrej K - Pleshivtsev E. (World) August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Samrej K. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.28 / 2 3.11

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.3%
1 ✓ Pick 70.8%
2 29.2%

Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard hard 04.08.2026 07:30 UTC Not started
04.08.2026 07:30 UTC Not started
S
Samrej K
P
Pleshivtsev E. (World)
-:-
Odds
P1 1.28 70.8% BetBoom
P2 3.11 29.2% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 04.08.2026 07:30 UTC
Market 1 70.8% @ 1.28 / 2 29.2% @ 3.11
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
Match center

Samrej K - Pleshivtsev E. (World)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Samrej K 70.8% 56.5% market and model agree
Pleshivtsev E. (World) 29.2% 43.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 56.5% / 43.5% probabilities
Rating 1,677 / 1,550 Samrej K / Pleshivtsev E. (World)
RD 154 / 253 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,368-1,985 / 1,043-2,056 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.11 market consensus · no value · model 43.5%
1 1.28 market consensus · no value · model 56.5%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
1.28 78.1%
3.11 32.2%
Match center
Samrej K
L W L W L
30.07 04:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Samrej K 1:2 Shebekin G. (World)Shebekin G. (World)
29.07 07:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Samrej K 2:1 Takahata R. 🇯🇵Takahata R. 🇯🇵
08.07 23:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Tokyo 4 (Japan), hard
Samrej K 0:2 Oti M. 🇯🇵
07.07 23:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Tokyo 4 (Japan), hard
Samrej K 2:0 Takahata R. 🇯🇵Takahata R. 🇯🇵
04.07 00:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Tokyo 3 (Japan), hard
Samrej K 1:2 Shin S. 🇰🇷Shin S. 🇰🇷
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Pleshivtsev E. (World)
W L
15.07 06:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Monastir 27 (Tunisia), hard
Pleshivtsev E. (World) 2:0 Dhokia R. 🇬🇧
09.07 08:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Monastir 26 (Tunisia), hard
Pleshivtsev E. (World) 0:2 Dzhons R. 🇬🇧
1 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
50% Win percentage