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ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard

Sornlaksup P - Nurlanuly Z

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction

Sornlaksup P meet Nurlanuly Z on August 5, 2026 in the ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard.

Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Nurlanuly Z51%

Pure model vs market (2 · Nurlanuly Z): model 52% · market 51% Δ +1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Sornlaksup P49.4%
2 · Nurlanuly Z50.6%

Model estimate: win Sornlaksup P 49.4%, win Nurlanuly Z 50.6%. Model favourite — Nurlanuly Z.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Nurlanuly Z (odds1.81) Score 1:2 confidence 51%
  • Sornlaksup P
  • 🇹🇭 — Nurlanuly Z
  • 🇰🇿 (tennis)
  • Sornlaksup P
  • 🇹🇭: forma PPVPV (2-3)
  • Nurlanuly Z
  • 🇰🇿: forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • Model backs Nurlanuly Z
  • 🇰🇿: probability 51% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.81)
  • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sornlaksup P - Nurlanuly Z August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Nurlanuly Z. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.90 / 2 1.83

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 3 books · best price +1.1%
1 49.5%
2 50.6%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Sornlaksup P

no data

Nurlanuly Z
6-4WWWWLLLWWL
scored 1.3conceded 1.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard hard 05.08.2026 07:30 UTC Not started
05.08.2026 07:30 UTC Not started
S
Sornlaksup P
N
Nurlanuly Z
-:-
Odds
P1 1.90 49.1% BetBoom
P2 1.83 50.9% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 05.08.2026 07:30 UTC
Market 1 49.1% @ 1.90 / 2 50.9% @ 1.83
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Sornlaksup P - Nurlanuly Z

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sornlaksup P 49.5% 49.4%
Nurlanuly Z 50.6% 50.6% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 49.4% / 50.6% probabilities
Rating 1,648 / 1,761 Sornlaksup P / Nurlanuly Z
RD 181 / 211 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,285-2,011 / 1,339-2,183 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.81 market consensus · no value · model 50.6%
1 1.87 market consensus · no value · model 49.4%
Total
Over 20.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Under 20.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.71 58.5% 1.69 59.2%
2.00 50.0% 1.97 50.8%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
Over 20.5 1.87 53.5% 1.84 54.4%
Under 20.5 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.84 54.4%
1.83 54.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6%
Match center
Sornlaksup P
L L W L W
30.07 05:00 UTC+0 World Tennis. Men. Kazakhstan
Sornlaksup P 0:2 Zhalgasbay D
30.07 03:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Sornlaksup P 0:2 Zhalgasbay D. 🇰🇿
28.07 07:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Sornlaksup P 2:0 Maratuly I. 🇰🇿
14.06 00:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Maanshan 5 (China), hard (indoor)
Sornlaksup P 0:2 Dellavedova M. 🇦🇺
13.06 00:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Maanshan 5 (China), hard (indoor)
Sornlaksup P 2:0 Isomura KIsomura K
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Nurlanuly Z
L W W W W
01.08 08:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Nurlanuly Z 1:2 Shebekin G. (World)Shebekin G. (World)
31.07 07:27 UTC+0 World Tennis. Men. Kazakhstan
Nurlanuly Z 2:1 Brand Dan
31.07 05:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Nurlanuly Z 2:1 Brand D. 🇮🇱
30.07 08:00 UTC+0 World Tennis. Men. Kazakhstan
Nurlanuly Z 2:1 Erdilda E
29.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Nurlanuly Z 2:0 Bakshi A. 🇬🇪
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySornlaksup P - Nurlanuly Z

Sornlaksup P
0 matches total
Nurlanuly Z
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history