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ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard
05.08.2026 07:30 UTC

Tanaka Y - Mitsui Sh. 🇯🇵

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Tanaka Y go head-to-head with Mitsui Sh. 🇯🇵 on August 5, 2026 in the ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Mitsui Sh. 🇯🇵 — 60%

1 · Tanaka Y40.2%
market15%
2 · Mitsui Sh. 🇯🇵 ✓ Pick59.8%
market85%

Model estimate: win Tanaka Y 40.2%, win Mitsui Sh. 🇯🇵 59.8%. Model favourite — Mitsui Sh. 🇯🇵.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tanaka Y - Mitsui Sh. 🇯🇵 August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Mitsui Sh. 🇯🇵. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 6.10 / 2 1.09

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.4% 3 books
1 15.2%
2 ✓ Pick 84.8%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard hard 05.08.2026 07:30 UTC Not started
05.08.2026 07:30 UTC Not started
T
Tanaka Y
M
Mitsui Sh. 🇯🇵
-:-
Odds
P1 6.30 14.4% BetBoom
P2 1.06 85.6% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 05.08.2026 07:30 UTC
Market 1 15.2% @ 6.10 / 2 84.8% @ 1.09
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
Match center

Tanaka Y - Mitsui Sh. 🇯🇵

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Tanaka Y 14.4% 40.2%
Mitsui Sh. 🇯🇵 85.6% 59.8% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 40.2% / 59.8% probabilities
Rating 1,233 / 1,710 Tanaka Y / Mitsui Sh. 🇯🇵
RD 263 / 206 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 707-1,760 / 1,298-2,122 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.08 market consensus · no value · model 59.8%
1 6.07 market consensus · no value · model 40.2%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
6.10 16.4% 6.00 16.7% 6.10 16.4%
1.09 91.7% 1.09 91.7% 1.07 93.5%
Match center
Tanaka Y
L L
01.07 02:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Tokyo 3 (Japan), hard
Tanaka Y 0:2 Samrey K. 🇹🇭
25.05 23:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Karuizawa (Japan), clay
Tanaka Y 0:2 Kusuhara Y. 🇯🇵
0 Wins
2 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Mitsui Sh. 🇯🇵
L W W
31.07 04:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Mitsui Sh. 🇯🇵 0:2 Bar-Biryukov P. (World)Bar-Biryukov P. (World)
30.07 03:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Mitsui Sh. 🇯🇵 2:1 Rakhmatullayev D. 🇰🇿
29.07 07:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Mitsui Sh. 🇯🇵 2:0 Niyetkaliyev A. 🇰🇿
2 Wins
1 Losses
1.3 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
67% Win percentage