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World Tennis. Men. Kazakhstan
World Tennis. Men. Kazakhstan
01.08.2026 07:00 UTC

Bar Biryukov P - Zhalgasbay D

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Bar Biryukov P — 67%

Pure model vs market (1 · Bar Biryukov P): model 51% · market 69% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Bar Biryukov P ✓ Pick67.3%
market69%
2 · Zhalgasbay D32.7%
market31%

Model estimate: win Bar Biryukov P 67.3%, win Zhalgasbay D 32.7%. Model favourite — Bar Biryukov P.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bar Biryukov P - Zhalgasbay D August 1, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bar Biryukov P. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.33 / 2 2.95

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.1%
1 ✓ Pick 68.9%
2 31.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.17 ↑ 1.32
Pobeditel P2 4.15 ↓ 2.95

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis World Tennis. Men. Kazakhstan
World Tennis. Men. Kazakhstan hard 01.08.2026 07:00 UTC Not started
01.08.2026 07:00 UTC Not started
Bar Biryukov P
Bar Biryukov P
W W W
Z
Zhalgasbay D
W W W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.34 69.8% BetBoom
P2 3.09 30.3% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 01.08.2026 07:00 UTC
Market 1 68.9% @ 1.33 / 2 31.1% @ 2.95
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Bar Biryukov P - Zhalgasbay D

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bar Biryukov P 69.1% 67.3% market and model agree
Zhalgasbay D 30.9% 32.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 67.3% / 32.7% probabilities
Rating 1,900 / 1,952 Bar Biryukov P / Zhalgasbay D
RD 183 / 214 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,533-2,267 / 1,524-2,380 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.95 Fonbet · no value · model 32.7%
1 1.33 Fonbet · no value · model 67.3%
Total
Over 19.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
— — 1.53 65.4% —
1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9%
1.76 56.8% — 2.15 46.5% 1.79 55.9%
— — 2.30 43.5% —
1.99 50.3% 2.00 50.0% — 2.00 50.0%
1.95 51.3% — — 1.85 54.1%
— — 2.35 42.6% —
— — 1.95 51.3% —
— — 1.62 61.7% —
— — 1.55 64.5% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 19.5 — — 1.57 63.7% —
Over 20.5 1.78 56.2% — 1.63 61.4% 1.77 56.5%
Over 21.5 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.84 54.4%
Over 22.5 — — 2.07 48.3% —
Under 19.5 — — 2.25 44.4% —
Under 20.5 1.93 51.8% — 2.15 46.5% 1.87 53.5%
Under 21.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.80 55.6%
Under 22.5 — — 1.67 59.9% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.34 74.6% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.29 77.5%
3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 2.95 33.9% 3.09 32.4%
Match center
Bar Biryukov P
W W W
31.07 04:00 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Bar Biryukov P 2:0 Mitsui Sh. 🇯🇵
30.07 04:30 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Bar Biryukov P 2:0 Kunitsyn A. (World)
29.07 04:30 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Bar Biryukov P 2:0 Ivanov S. (World)
3 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Zhalgasbay D
W W W
31.07 04:00 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Zhalgasbay D 2:0 Omarkhanov A. 🇰🇿
30.07 03:00 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Zhalgasbay D 2:0 Sornlaksup P. 🇹🇭
28.07 07:30 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M15 Astana (Kazakhstan), hard
Zhalgasbay D 2:0 Kesharwani M. 🇮🇳
3 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage