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ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bali 2 (Indonesia), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bali 2 (Indonesia), hard
30.07.2026 03:00 UTC Match prediction

Da Costa R. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ - Saitoh K

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bali 2 (Indonesia), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bali 2 (Indonesia), hard hard 30.07.2026 03:00 UTC Finished
30.07.2026 03:00 UTC Finished
D
Da Costa R. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ
W
S
Saitoh K
W
0:2
Odds
P1 6.80 13.9% BetBoom
P2 1.10 86.1% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
๐ŸŽฏ PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Saitoh K โ€” 82%

Pure model vs market (2 ยท Saitoh K): model 50% ยท market 86% ฮ” โˆ’36 pp model estimates below the market

1 ยท Da Costa R. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ18.3%
market14%
2 ยท Saitoh K ✓ Pick81.7%
market86%

Model estimate: win Da Costa R. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ 18.3%, win Saitoh K 81.7%. Model favourite โ€” Saitoh K.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Da Costa R. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ - Saitoh K July 30, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Saitoh K.

Line favourite market consensus: Saitoh K. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 6.80 / 2 1.10
  • Glicko: Da Costa R. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ 18.3% / Saitoh K 81.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 13.9%
2 ✓ Pick 86.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 30.07.2026 03:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 4 matches
Match center

Da Costa R. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ - Saitoh K

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 81.7% fact: away hit / ROI 10.0% / Brier 0.067 / LogLoss 0.202
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 53.8% fact: away hit / ROI 10.0% / Brier 0.427 / LogLoss 0.620
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Da Costa R. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ 14.8% 18.3%
Saitoh K 85.2% 81.7% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 18.3% / 81.7% probabilities
Rating 1,585 / 1,640 Da Costa R. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ / Saitoh K
RD 276 / 162 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,034-2,136 / 1,317-1,963 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.09 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 81.7%
1 6.30 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 18.3%
Total
Over 18.5 1.93 market consensus ยท line only
Under 18.5 1.78 market consensus ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
1.70 58.8%
2.03 49.3%

Total

Outcome Betcity
Over 18.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 18.5 1.78 56.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
5.80 17.2% 6.80 14.7%
1.10 90.9% 1.07 93.5%
Match center
Da Costa R. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ
W
29.07 05:00 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bali 2 (Indonesia), hard
Da Costa R. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ 2:1 Rathi A. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Saitoh K
W
28.07 02:00 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bali 2 (Indonesia), hard
Saitoh K 2:0 Banolini D. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage