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ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bali 2 (Indonesia), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bali 2 (Indonesia), hard

Matsuda Ryuki - Trismuwantara G

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bali 2 (Indonesia), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bali 2 (Indonesia), hard hard 30.07.2026 02:00 UTC Finished
30.07.2026 02:00 UTC Finished
M
Matsuda Ryuki
W
T
Trismuwantara G
W
2:0
Odds
P1 1.24 75.9% BetBoom
P2 3.90 24.1% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Matsuda Ryuki74%

Pure model vs market (1 · Matsuda Ryuki): model 58% · market 89% Δ −31 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Matsuda Ryuki ✓ Pick73.6%
market89%
2 · Trismuwantara G26.4%
market11%

Model estimate: win Matsuda Ryuki 73.6%, win Trismuwantara G 26.4%. Model favourite — Matsuda Ryuki.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Matsuda Ryuki (odds1.31) Score 2:1 confidence 69% ✓ outcome correct
  • Matsuda R
  • 🇯🇵 — Trismuwantara G
  • 🇮🇩 (tennis)
  • Matsuda R
  • 🇯🇵: forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • Trismuwantara G
  • 🇮🇩: forma VP (1)
  • Model backs Matsuda R
  • 🇯🇵: probability 69% vs 76% on the line (odds 1.31)
  • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Matsuda Ryuki - Trismuwantara G July 30, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Matsuda Ryuki.

Line favourite Fonbet: Matsuda Ryuki. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 8.50
  • Glicko: Matsuda Ryuki 73.6% / Trismuwantara G 26.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.8%
1 ✓ Pick 89.3%
2 10.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 30.07.2026 02:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
Match center

Matsuda Ryuki - Trismuwantara G

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 73.6% fact: home hit / ROI 24.0% / Brier 0.140 / LogLoss 0.307
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 52.8% fact: home hit / ROI 24.0% / Brier 0.445 / LogLoss 0.638
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Matsuda Ryuki 75.4% 73.6% market and model agree
Trismuwantara G 24.7% 26.4%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 73.6% / 26.4% probabilities
Rating 1,684 / 1,515 Matsuda Ryuki / Trismuwantara G
RD 106 / 274 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,471-1,896 / 967-2,063 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 Fonbet · no value · model 26.4%
1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 73.6%
Total
Over 19.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Over 20.5 3.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
1.15 87.0%
1.73 57.8%
2.00 50.0%
4.50 22.2%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 20.5 3.80 26.3%
Over 22.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 19.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 20.5 1.20 83.3%
Under 22.5 1.01 99.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.24 80.7% 1.21 82.6% 1.02 98.0%
3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 8.50 11.8%
Match center
Matsuda Ryuki
W
29.07 01:00 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bali 2 (Indonesia), hard
Matsuda Ryuki 2:1 Ishikava T. 🇯🇵
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Trismuwantara G
W
29.07 02:00 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bali 2 (Indonesia), hard
Trismuwantara G 2:0 Susanto A. 🇮🇩
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage