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ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bali 2 (Indonesia), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bali 2 (Indonesia), hard
01.08.2026 04:00 UTC

Saito K. 🇯🇵 - Ryan Ziegann S. 🇦🇺

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Saito K. 🇯🇵 — 51%

1 · Saito K. 🇯🇵50.8%
2 · Ryan Ziegann S. 🇦🇺49.2%

Model estimate: win Saito K. 🇯🇵 50.8%, win Ryan Ziegann S. 🇦🇺 49.2%. Model favourite — Saito K. 🇯🇵.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Saito K. 🇯🇵 (odds1.20) Score 2:1 confidence 51%
  • • Saito K
  • • 🇯🇵 — Ryan Ziegann S
  • • 🇦🇺 (tennis)
  • • Saito K
  • • 🇯🇵: forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • • Ryan Ziegann S
  • • 🇦🇺: forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • • Model backs Saito K
  • • 🇯🇵: probability 51% vs 83% on the line (odds 1.20)
  • • no edge over the line (-33 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Saito K. 🇯🇵 - Ryan Ziegann S. 🇦🇺 August 1, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Saito K. 🇯🇵. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.17 / 2 4.15

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.6%
1 78.0%
2 22.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.20 ↓ 1.17
Pobeditel P2 3.80 ↑ 4.15

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bali 2 (Indonesia), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bali 2 (Indonesia), hard hard 01.08.2026 04:00 UTC Not started
01.08.2026 04:00 UTC Not started
S
Saito K. 🇯🇵
W W W
R
Ryan Ziegann S. 🇦🇺
W W W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.17 78.0% BetBoom
P2 4.15 22.0% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 01.08.2026 04:00 UTC
Market 1 78.0% @ 1.17 / 2 22.0% @ 4.15
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Saito K. 🇯🇵 - Ryan Ziegann S. 🇦🇺

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Saito K. 🇯🇵 78.0% 50.8% market and model agree
Ryan Ziegann S. 🇦🇺 22.0% 49.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 50.8% / 49.2% probabilities
Rating 1,755 / 1,798 Saito K. 🇯🇵 / Ryan Ziegann S. 🇦🇺
RD 145 / 187 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,464-2,045 / 1,424-2,171 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.15 Fonbet · weak value +104.1% · model 49.2%
1 1.17 Fonbet · no value · model 50.8%
Total
Over 19.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.40 71.4%
1.62 61.7%
2.02 49.5%
2.70 37.0%
2.15 46.5%
1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 19.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 20.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 21.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 19.5 2.00 50.0%
Under 20.5 1.75 57.1%
Under 21.5 1.60 62.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.17 85.5%
4.15 24.1%
Match center
Saito K. 🇯🇵
W W W
31.07 02:00 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bali 2 (Indonesia), hard
Saito K. 🇯🇵 2:1 Shin S. 🇰🇷
30.07 03:00 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bali 2 (Indonesia), hard
Saito K. 🇯🇵 2:0 Da Costa R. 🇮🇩
28.07 02:00 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bali 2 (Indonesia), hard
Saito K. 🇯🇵 2:0 Banolini D. 🇮🇹
3 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.3 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Ryan Ziegann S. 🇦🇺
W W W
31.07 02:00 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bali 2 (Indonesia), hard
Ryan Ziegann S. 🇦🇺 2:1 Nirundorn T. 🇹🇭
30.07 03:00 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bali 2 (Indonesia), hard
Ryan Ziegann S. 🇦🇺 2:1 Sharoenfon Yu. 🇹🇭
28.07 01:00 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bali 2 (Indonesia), hard
Ryan Ziegann S. 🇦🇺 2:1 Kavakhasi Yu. 🇯🇵
3 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage