PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bielsko Biala (Poland), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bielsko Biala (Poland), clay
06.08.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction

Larwig N - Beckley A

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bielsko Biala (Poland), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bielsko Biala (Poland), clay clay 06.08.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
06.08.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
L
Larwig N
Rank #1260 Elo 9
20Very Bad Form
W L W L L L L W
B
Beckley A
Rank #553 Elo 74
74Good Form
L L L L L L L W
0:2
Coverage: clay
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Larwig N Beckley A
Win % 44.3% 61.2%
Hard % 41.2% 62.8%
Clay % 46.7% 56%
Grass % 0% 0%
Deciding set % 42.9% 57.4%
Tie-breaks % 30.4% 61%
Titles (total) 0 4
Last 10 WLWLLLLLLL WLWLLLWWWL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#1260 Rating #553
24 Age 25
- Height (cm) 1.83m
- Weight (kg) 75kg
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Larwig N Beckley A
Aces per match 2.00 2.11
Double faults per match 3 4.33
Breaks per match 12 5.06

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Noel Larwig
Rank:1260 Elo: 9
W L W L L L L W
Alec Beckley
Rank:553 Elo: 74
L L L L L L L W
Elo favourite:Beckley A (edge +65 Elo)

Hard

Noel LarwigAlec Beckley
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 0.0% 0 / 3 Matches 78.3% 18 / 23 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 14.3% 1 / 7 Matches 72.0% 18 / 25 Matches

Clay

Noel LarwigAlec Beckley
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 28.6% 2 / 7 Matches 25.0% 1 / 4 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 40.0% 8 / 20 Matches 50.0% 8 / 16 Matches

Grass

Noel LarwigAlec Beckley
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Noel Larwig Alec Beckley
H2H wins 0 (0.0%) 2 (100.0%)
Sets 0 (0.0%) 4 (100.0%)
Wins this year 20.0% 2 / 10 Matches 74.3% 26 / 35 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 33.3% 9 / 27 Matches 67.4% 33 / 49 Matches
Current rank 1260 553

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Noel Larwig Alec Beckley
Prize money (career) $7,017 USD $45,328 USD
Rating 1260 553
Age 24 25
Height — 1.83m
Weight — 75kg

Win percentage (match / set)

Noel Larwig Alec Beckley
Match Wins 20 % 74 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 20 % 70 %
Wins in Straight Sets 10 % 49 %
Wins From Behind 0 % 31 %
Won At Least 1 Set 30 % 86 %
Set 1 Win 20 % 69 %
Set 2 Win 20 % 65 %
Set 3 Win 50 % 69 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date Tournament Results
Jul 31 2025 M25 Koszalin ITF Men (Clay) Noel Larwig 0 – 2 Alec Beckley
Oct 26 2022 M15 Monastir 42 ITF Men (Hard) Noel Larwig 0 – 2 Alec Beckley

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Noel Larwig Alec Beckley Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.8 9.11 9.46
Over 6.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 7.5 100 % 89 % 95 %
Over 8.5 70 % 78 % 74 %
Over 9.5 30 % 26 % 28 %
Over 10.5 30 % 11 % 21 %
Over 11.5 30 % 11 % 21 %

Aces

Noel Larwig Alec Beckley Match total
Aces Per Match 2.00 2.11 4.11
Most Aces in a match 100 % 56 % N/A
1+ 100 % 78 % 100 %
2+ 100 % 67 % 95 %
3+ 0 % 33 % 89 %
4+ 0 % 22 % 28 %
5+ 0 % 11 % 22 %

Breaks

Noel Larwig Alec Beckley Match total
Breaks Per Match 12 5.06 17.06
Over 0.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 100 % 22 % 100 %
Over 2.5 100 % 0 % 100 %
Over 3.5 100 % 0 % 100 %
Over 4.5 100 % 0 % 100 %
Over 5.5 100 % 0 % 100 %

Tie-breaks

Noel Larwig Alec Beckley Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.2 0.07 0.14
Over 0.5 20 % 7 % 14 %
Over 1.5 0 % 0 % 0 %
Under 0.5 80 % 93 % 14 %
Under 1.5 100 % 100 % 0 %

Double faults

Noel Larwig Alec Beckley Match total
Double Faults Per Match 3 4.33 7.33
Over 0.5 (1+) 100 % 89 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 100 % 89 % 100 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 100 % 78 % 100 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 0 % 67 % 100 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 0 % 44 % 100 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 0 % 33 % 100 %

Net points

Noel Larwig Alec Beckley Match total
Net Points Won Per Match N/A 11.38 N/A
Over 4.5 (5+) N/A 75 % N/A
Over 5.5 (6+) N/A 75 % N/A
Over 6.5 (7+) N/A 75 % N/A
Over 7.5 (8+) N/A 50 % N/A
Over 8.5 (9+) N/A 50 % N/A
Over 9.5 (10+) N/A 50 % N/A

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 4.66 20.5% BetBoom
P2 1.20 79.5% BetBoom

Larwig N face Beckley A on August 6, 2026 in the ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bielsko Biala (Poland), clay.

Recent form (W-D-L): Larwig N 1-0-0, Beckley A 1-0-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 25% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Beckley A — 75%

Pure model vs market (2 · Beckley A): model 54% · market 77% Δ −23 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Larwig N25.4%
market23%
2 · Beckley A ✓ Pick74.6%
market77%

Model estimate: win Larwig N 25.4%, win Beckley A 74.6%. Model favourite — Beckley A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Larwig N - Beckley A August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Beckley A.

Line favourite market consensus: Beckley A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 4.66 / 2 1.20
  • Glicko: Larwig N 25.4% / Beckley A 74.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3% 3 books
1 23.1%
2 ✓ Pick 76.9%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Larwig N
22%
4.66
Beckley A
78%
1.20

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Larwig N
4-6WLLLWLLWWL
scored 1.0conceded 1.3
Beckley A

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 06.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 20.5% @ 4.66 / 2 79.5% @ 1.20
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Beckley A 75%
💹 Market Beckley A 77%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Larwig N - Beckley A

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 74.6% fact: away hit / ROI 20.0% / Brier 0.129 / LogLoss 0.293
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 53.0% fact: away hit / ROI 20.0% / Brier 0.443 / LogLoss 0.636
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Larwig N 23.1% 35.5%
Beckley A 76.9% 64.5% model more cautious than market
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko25.4% · +Elo prior (weight0.42).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 25.4% / 74.6% probabilities
Rating 1,331 / 1,507 Larwig N / Beckley A
RD 182 / 190 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 967-1,695 / 1,127-1,887 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.18 market consensus · no value · model 74.6%
1 4.22 market consensus · no value · model 25.4%
Total
Over 18.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Over 19.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.92 52.1%
1.77 56.5%
1.73 57.8%
1.87 53.5%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 18.5 1.74 57.5%
Over 19.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 18.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 19.5 1.82 55.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.66 21.5%
1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.13 88.5%
Match center
Larwig N
W
04.08 12:00 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bielsko Biala (Poland), clay
Larwig N 2:1 Knitter K. 🇵🇱
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Beckley A
W
05.08 08:00 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bielsko Biala (Poland), clay
Beckley A 2:0 Szczypka M. 🇵🇱
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLarwig N - Beckley A

Larwig N
0 matches total
Beckley A
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history