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ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bielsko Biala (Poland), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bielsko Biala (Poland), clay
05.08.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction

Zielinski M - Vulpitta G

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bielsko Biala (Poland), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bielsko Biala (Poland), clay clay 05.08.2026 11:00 UTC Finished
05.08.2026 11:00 UTC Finished
Z
Zielinski M
Vulpitta G
Vulpitta G
2:1 7:6 4:6 6:4
1 2 3 GP
Zielinski M 7 4 6 2
Vulpitta G 6 6 4 1
1 2 3
Odds
P1 1.46 70.6% BetBoom
P2 3.50 29.4% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0

Zielinski M meet Vulpitta G on August 5, 2026 in the ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bielsko Biala (Poland), clay.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 62% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Zielinski M — 62%

Pure model vs market (1 · Zielinski M): model 56% · market 68% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Zielinski M ✓ Pick62.4%
market68%
2 · Vulpitta G37.6%
market32%

Model estimate: win Zielinski M 62.4%, win Vulpitta G 37.6%. Model favourite — Zielinski M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Zielinski M (odds1.26) Score 2:0 confidence 71% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Zelinski M
  • • 🇵🇱 — Vulpitta G
  • • 🇮🇹 (tennis)
  • • Zelinski M
  • • 🇵🇱: forma PVVPV (3-2)
  • • Vulpitta G
  • • 🇮🇹: forma PPV (1-2)
  • • Model backs Zelinski M
  • • 🇵🇱: probability 71% vs 79% on the line (odds 1.26)
  • • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zielinski M - Vulpitta G August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zielinski M.

Line favourite Fonbet: Zielinski M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 9.00
  • Glicko: Zielinski M 62.4% / Vulpitta G 37.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.3% 4 books · best price +7.8%
1 ✓ Pick 68.3%
2 31.7%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 05.08.2026 11:00 UTC
Market 1 89.9% @ 1.01 / 2 10.1% @ 9.00
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Zielinski M - Vulpitta G

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Zielinski M Vulpitta G Result
Set 1 7 6 7:6
Set 2 4 6 4:6
Set 3 6 4 6:4
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 62.4% fact: home hit / ROI 46.0% / Brier 0.282 / LogLoss 0.471
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.5% fact: home hit / ROI 46.0% / Brier 0.471 / LogLoss 0.664
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Zielinski M 63.1% 62.4% market and model agree
Vulpitta G 36.9% 37.6%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 62.4% / 37.6% probabilities
Rating 1,619 / 1,514 Zielinski M / Vulpitta G
RD 154 / 210 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,312-1,926 / 1,094-1,934 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · no value · model 37.6%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 62.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 6.80 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 21.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Over 23.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.85 54.1% —
2.10 47.6% —
1.40 71.4% —
1.06 94.3% —
2.80 35.7% —
2.45 40.8% —
— 1.92 52.1%
1.85 54.1% —
1.65 60.6% —
— 1.72 58.1%
2.80 35.7% —
6.80 14.7% —
1.40 71.4% —
1.48 67.6% —

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
2.55 39.2%
1.45 69.0%
10.00 10.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 21.5 — 1.83 54.6%
Over 23.5 2.02 49.5% —
Over 25.5 1.57 63.7% —
Over 26.5 1.93 51.8% —
Over 30.5 1.90 52.6% —
Over 31.5 1.40 71.4% —
Over 32.5 1.40 71.4% —
Over 33.5 5.80 17.2% —
Under 21.5 — 1.80 55.6%
Under 23.5 1.70 58.8% —
Under 25.5 2.25 44.4% —
Under 26.5 1.77 56.5% —
Under 30.5 1.80 55.6% —
Under 31.5 2.80 35.7% —
Under 32.5 2.80 35.7% —
Under 33.5 1.09 91.7% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.45 69.0%
Under 2.5 2.55 39.2%
Match center
Zielinski M
L W W L W
31.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Koszalin (Poland), clay
Zielinski M 0:2 Mikhalski D. 🇵🇱
30.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Koszalin (Poland), clay
Zielinski M 2:0 Sadzik J. 🇵🇱
29.07 10:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Koszalin (Poland), clay
Zielinski M 2:0 Jedrzejczak J. 🇵🇱
20.07 08:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Tampere (Finland) - Qualifying, clay
Zielinski M 0:2 Oliveri Dzh. 🇦🇷
19.07 09:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Tampere (Finland) - Qualifying, clay
Zielinski M 2:0 Ponshe M. 🇫🇷
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Vulpitta G
L L W
14.07 17:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Gubbio (Italy), clay
Vulpitta G 1:2 Basile P. 🇮🇹Basile P. 🇮🇹
09.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Bastia-Lucciana +H (France), clay
Vulpitta G 0:2 Rolland de Ravel C. 🇫🇷
08.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Bastia-Lucciana +H (France), clay
Vulpitta G 2:0 Toffanin N. 🇮🇹
1 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.3 Sets lost
33% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyZielinski M - Vulpitta G

Zielinski M
0 matches total
Vulpitta G
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history