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ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bielsko Biala (Poland), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bielsko Biala (Poland), clay
06.08.2026 09:00 UTC Match prediction

Zielinski M - Wagner A

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bielsko Biala (Poland), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bielsko Biala (Poland), clay clay 06.08.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
06.08.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
Z
Zielinski M
Rank #589 Elo 66
63Average Form
W L W W L W L W
W
Wagner A
Rank #1186 Elo 11
36Bad Form
W L W L W W W W
2:1
Coverage: clay
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Zielinski M Wagner A
Win % 62.1% 48.3%
Hard % 53.8% 0%
Clay % 62.8% 49.2%
Grass % 0% 0%
Deciding set % 66.1% 28.6%
Tie-breaks % 48% 41.7%
Titles (total) 2 0
Last 10 WLWWLWLWWL WLLWLWWLWW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#589 Rating #1186
25 Age -
1.80m Height (cm) -
80kg Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Zielinski M Wagner A
Aces per match 0.50 N/A
Double faults per match 2.5 N/A
Breaks per match 8 N/A

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Marcel Zielinski
Rank:589 Elo: 66
W L W W L W L W
Alexander Wagner
Rank:1186 Elo: 11
W L W L W W W W
Elo favourite:Zielinski M (edge +55 Elo)

Hard

Marcel ZielinskiAlexander Wagner
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Aces Per Match N/A N/A
Most Aces in a match N/A N/A

Clay

Marcel ZielinskiAlexander Wagner
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 63.6% 21 / 33 Matches 38.5% 5 / 13 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 63.9% 39 / 61 Matches 41.7% 10 / 24 Matches
Aces Per Match 0.50 N/A
Most Aces in a match 50 % N/A

Grass

Marcel ZielinskiAlexander Wagner
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Aces Per Match N/A N/A
Most Aces in a match N/A N/A

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Marcel Zielinski Alexander Wagner
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 62.9% 22 / 35 Matches 35.7% 5 / 14 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 63.5% 40 / 63 Matches 40.0% 10 / 25 Matches
Current rank 589 1186

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Marcel Zielinski Alexander Wagner
Prize money (career) $17,813 USD $0 USD
Rating 589 1186
Age 25 —
Height 1.80m —
Weight 80kg —

Win percentage (match / set)

Marcel Zielinski Alexander Wagner
Match Wins 63 % 36 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 62 % 38 %
Wins in Straight Sets 34 % 21 %
Wins From Behind 28 % 10 %
Won At Least 1 Set 66 % 64 %
Set 1 Win 51 % 43 %
Set 2 Win 49 % 43 %
Set 3 Win 91 % 33 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Marcel Zielinski Alexander Wagner Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.63 9.57 9.6
Over 6.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 7.5 85 % 85 % 85 %
Over 8.5 56 % 69 % 63 %
Over 9.5 44 % 46 % 45 %
Over 10.5 24 % 23 % 24 %
Over 11.5 24 % 23 % 24 %

Aces

Marcel Zielinski Alexander Wagner Match total
Aces Per Match 0.50 N/A N/A
Most Aces in a match 50 % N/A N/A
1+ 50 % N/A N/A
2+ 0 % N/A N/A
3+ 0 % N/A N/A
4+ 0 % N/A N/A
5+ 0 % N/A N/A

Breaks

Marcel Zielinski Alexander Wagner Match total
Breaks Per Match 8 N/A N/A
Over 0.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 1.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 2.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 3.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 4.5 0 % N/A N/A
Over 5.5 0 % N/A N/A

Tie-breaks

Marcel Zielinski Alexander Wagner Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.32 0.38 0.35
Over 0.5 26 % 31 % 29 %
Over 1.5 6 % 8 % 7 %
Under 0.5 74 % 69 % 29 %
Under 1.5 94 % 92 % 7 %

Double faults

Marcel Zielinski Alexander Wagner Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.5 N/A N/A
Over 0.5 (1+) 100 % N/A N/A
Over 1.5 (2+) 50 % N/A N/A
Over 2.5 (3+) 50 % N/A N/A
Over 3.5 (4+) 50 % N/A N/A
Over 4.5 (5+) 0 % N/A N/A
Over 5.5 (6+) 0 % N/A N/A

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.30 75.9% BetBoom
P2 4.10 24.1% BetBoom

Zielinski M meet Wagner A on August 6, 2026 in the ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bielsko Biala (Poland), clay.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 73% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Zielinski M — 73%

Pure model vs market (1 · Zielinski M): model 53% · market 76% Δ −23 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Zielinski M ✓ Pick73.4%
market76%
2 · Wagner A26.6%
market24%

Model estimate: win Zielinski M 73.4%, win Wagner A 26.6%. Model favourite — Zielinski M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Zielinski M (odds1.27) Score 2:0 confidence 70% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Zelinski M
  • • 🇵🇱 — Khusarich A
  • • 🇦🇹 (tennis)
  • • Zelinski M
  • • 🇵🇱: forma VPVVP (3-2)
  • • Khusarich A
  • • 🇦🇹: forma PPVPV (2-3)
  • • Model backs Zelinski M
  • • 🇵🇱: probability 70% vs 79% on the line (odds 1.27)
  • • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zielinski M - Wagner A August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zielinski M.

Line favourite market consensus: Zielinski M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.30 / 2 4.10
  • Glicko: Zielinski M 73.4% / Wagner A 26.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.4% 4 books · best price +7.4%
1 ✓ Pick 75.7%
2 24.3%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Zielinski M
75%
1.30
Wagner A
25%
4.10
Total
Over 20.5
49%
1.87
Under 20.5
51%
1.83

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Match center
Start 06.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Market 1 75.9% @ 1.30 / 2 24.1% @ 4.10
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Zielinski M 73%
💹 Market Zielinski M 76%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Zielinski M - Wagner A

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 73.4% fact: home hit / ROI 30.0% / Brier 0.141 / LogLoss 0.309
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 52.8% fact: home hit / ROI 30.0% / Brier 0.445 / LogLoss 0.638
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Zielinski M 75.7% 65.5% model more cautious than market
Wagner A 24.3% 34.5%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko73.4% · +Elo prior (weight0.35).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 73.4% / 26.6% probabilities
Rating 1,631 / 1,618 Zielinski M / Wagner A
RD 145 / 183 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,341-1,921 / 1,252-1,984 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.72 market consensus · no value · model 26.6%
1 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 73.4%
Total
Over 19.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Over 20.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Leon
1.82 55.0% 1.76 56.8%
— 1.87 53.5%
1.88 53.2% 1.88 53.2%
— 1.77 56.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Leon
Over 19.5 — 1.73 57.8%
Over 20.5 1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8%
Under 19.5 — 1.91 52.4%
Under 20.5 1.83 54.6% 1.78 56.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
1.30 76.9% 1.19 84.0% 1.19 84.0% 1.23 81.3%
3.20 31.3% 4.10 24.4% 4.10 24.4% 3.48 28.7%
Match center
Zielinski M
W
05.08 11:00 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bielsko Biala (Poland), clay
Zielinski M 2:1 Vulpitta G. 🇮🇹Vulpitta G. 🇮🇹
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Wagner A
L L W L W
29.07 07:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Wels (Austria), clay
Wagner A 0:2 Vankan M. 🇩🇪
23.07 09:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Ollersbach (Austria), clay
Wagner A 1:2 Martin AndresMartin Andres
21.07 14:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Ollersbach (Austria), clay
Wagner A 2:1 Braynin A. 🇺🇦
17.07 07:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Kramsach (Austria), clay
Wagner A 1:2 Viskandt M. 🇩🇪
16.07 07:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Kramsach (Austria), clay
Wagner A 2:1 Plunger M. 🇮🇹
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyZielinski M - Wagner A

Zielinski M
0 matches total
Wagner A
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history