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ITF Men - Singles: M15 Castelo Branco (Portugal), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Castelo Branco (Portugal), hard
15.07.2026 06:30 UTC Match prediction

Monteiro S. 🇵🇹 - Leal R. 🇵🇹

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M15 Castelo Branco (Portugal), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Castelo Branco (Portugal), hard hard 15.07.2026 06:30 UTC Finished
15.07.2026 06:30 UTC Finished
M
Monteiro S. 🇵🇹
L
Leal R. 🇵🇹
0:2
Odds
P1 2.35 40.1% BetBoom
P2 1.57 60.0% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Leal R. 🇵🇹 — 58%

Pure model vs market (2 · Leal R. 🇵🇹): model 49% · market 60% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Monteiro S. 🇵🇹41.7%
market40%
2 · Leal R. 🇵🇹58.3%
market60%

Model estimate: win Monteiro S. 🇵🇹 41.7%, win Leal R. 🇵🇹 58.3%. Model favourite — Leal R. 🇵🇹.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Leal R. 🇵🇹 (odds1.57) confidence 55% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monteiro S. 🇵🇹 - Leal R. 🇵🇹 15 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Leal R. 🇵🇹.

Line favourite market consensus: Leal R. 🇵🇹. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.35 / 2 1.57
  • Glicko: Monteiro S. 🇵🇹 41.7% / Leal R. 🇵🇹 58.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 40.1%
2 59.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 15.07.2026 06:30 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 1 matches
Match center

Monteiro S. 🇵🇹 - Leal R. 🇵🇹

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Monteiro S. 🇵🇹 40.7% 41.7%
Leal R. 🇵🇹 59.3% 58.3% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 41.7% / 58.3% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,386 Monteiro S. 🇵🇹 / Leal R. 🇵🇹
RD 350 / 289 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 809-1,963 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.55 market consensus · no value · model 58.3%
1 2.28 market consensus · no value · model 41.7%
Total
Over 21.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Under 21.5 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
П1 +2.5 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
П2 -2.5 1.85 54.1% 1.77 56.5%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
ТБ 21.5 1.88 53.2% 1.83 54.6%
ТМ 21.5 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Betcity Leon
П1 2.35 42.6% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4%
П2 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.52 65.8%
Match center
Monteiro S. 🇵🇹
L
02.07 07:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M25 Figueira da Foz (Португалия), хард
Monteiro S. 🇵🇹 0:2 Overbeck C. E. (Дан)
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Leal R. 🇵🇹
L
02.07 07:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M25 Figueira da Foz (Португалия), хард
Leal R. 🇵🇹 0:2 Overbeck C. E. (Дан)
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage