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World Tennis. Men. Romania
World Tennis. Men. Romania
05.08.2026 07:00 UTC Match prediction

Pieleanu R T - Murray F

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis World Tennis. Men. Romania
World Tennis. Men. Romania clay 05.08.2026 07:00 UTC Finished
05.08.2026 07:00 UTC Finished
P
Pieleanu R T
M
Murray F
2:0 6:4 6:1
1 2 GP
Pieleanu R T 6 6 2
Murray F 4 1 0
1 2
Odds
P1 1.20 75.9% BetBoom
P2 3.77 24.1% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0

Pieleanu R T face Murray F on August 5, 2026 in the World Tennis. Men. Romania.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 53% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Pieleanu R T — 53%

1 · Pieleanu R T53.1%
2 · Murray F46.9%

Model estimate: win Pieleanu R T 53.1%, win Murray F 46.9%. Model favourite — Pieleanu R T.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Pieleanu R T (odds1.20) Score 2:1 confidence 53% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Pieleanu R
  • • T
  • • 🇷🇴 — Murray F
  • • 🇮🇪 (tennis)
  • • Pieleanu R
  • • T
  • • 🇷🇴: forma PVPP (1-3)
  • • Murray F
  • • 🇮🇪: forma PPV (1-2)
  • • Model backs Pieleanu R
  • • T
  • • 🇷🇴: probability 53% vs 83% on the line (odds 1.20)
  • • no edge over the line (-30 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pieleanu R T - Murray F August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Pieleanu R T.

Line favourite Fonbet: Pieleanu R T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 10.00
  • Glicko: Pieleanu R T 53.1% / Murray F 46.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.0% 2 books · best price +8.1%
1 83.3%
2 16.7%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 05.08.2026 07:00 UTC
Market 1 90.7% @ 1.02 / 2 9.3% @ 10.00
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Pieleanu R T - Murray F

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Pieleanu R T Murray F Result
Set 1 6 4 6:4
Set 2 6 1 6:1
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 53.1% fact: home hit / ROI 20.0% / Brier 0.439 / LogLoss 0.632
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 50.4% fact: home hit / ROI 20.0% / Brier 0.493 / LogLoss 0.686
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Pieleanu R T 75.9% 53.1% market and model agree
Murray F 24.1% 46.9%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 53.1% / 46.9% probabilities
Rating 1,334 / 1,312 Pieleanu R T / Murray F
RD 208 / 249 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 918-1,749 / 814-1,810 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · weak value +368.7% · model 46.9%
1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 53.1%
Total
Over 14.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Over 15.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.65 60.6% 1.72 58.1%
1.87 53.5% —
2.40 41.7% —
2.08 48.1% —
1.63 61.4% —
1.90 52.6% —
— 1.93 51.8%
2.10 47.6% —
1.83 54.6% —
1.50 66.7% —
1.67 59.9% —
2.15 46.5% —
1.80 55.6% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 14.5 1.77 56.5% —
Over 15.5 2.10 47.6% —
Over 16.5 1.65 60.6% —
Over 17.5 1.50 66.7% —
Over 18.5 1.80 55.6% —
Over 19.5 2.00 50.0% —
Over 20.5 2.25 44.4% 1.92 52.1%
Under 14.5 1.93 51.8% —
Under 15.5 1.65 60.6% —
Under 16.5 2.10 47.6% —
Under 17.5 2.40 41.7% —
Under 18.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 19.5 1.73 57.8% —
Under 20.5 1.58 63.3% 1.72 58.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.02 98.0% 1.20 83.3%
10.00 10.0% 3.77 26.5%
Match center
Pieleanu R T
L W L L
30.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Pitesti (Romania), clay
Pieleanu R T 0:2 Papoe R. M. 🇷🇴Papoe R. M. 🇷🇴
28.07 05:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Pitesti (Romania), clay
Pieleanu R T 2:0 Melnik V. 🇷🇴
23.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Bacau (Romania), clay
Pieleanu R T 0:2 Breazu V. C. 🇷🇴
23.05 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bucharest (Romania), hard
Pieleanu R T 0:2 Haita S. H. 🇷🇴
1 Wins
3 Losses
0.5 Sets won
1.5 Sets lost
25% Win percentage
Murray F
L L W
29.07 10:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Dublin (Ireland), hard
Murray F 0:2 Borisov D. 🇮🇪
09.07 06:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bucharest 2 (Romania), clay
Murray F 0:2 Mazzola F. 🇮🇹
08.07 06:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bucharest 2 (Romania), clay
Murray F 2:1 Guna R. 🇷🇴
1 Wins
2 Losses
0.7 Sets won
1.7 Sets lost
33% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPieleanu R T - Murray F

Pieleanu R T
0 matches total
Murray F
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history