ITF Men - Singles: M15 Gubbio (Italy), clay

15.07.2026 17:00 MSK Match prediction

Darderi V A - Crisostomo G. 🇮🇹

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M15 Gubbio (Italy), clay

ITF Men - Singles: M15 Gubbio (Italy), clay clay 15.07.2026 17:00 MSK Finished

15.07.2026 17:00 MSK Finished

Darderi V A

Crisostomo G. 🇮🇹

2:0

Odds

P1 4.50 20.6% BetBoom

P2 1.17 79.4% BetBoom

Coverage: clay

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -

- Rating -

- Age -

- Height (cm) -

- Weight (kg) -

- Hand -

- Seed -

clay Coverage clay

1 H2H 1

Head-to-head history

ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Messina (Италия), грунт

Darderi V. A. (Ита) 1 2

Crisostomo G. (Ита) 0 0

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Crisostomo G. 🇮🇹 — 76%

Pure model vs market (2 · Crisostomo G. 🇮🇹): model 49% · market 79% Δ −30 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Darderi V A24.3%

market21%

2 · Crisostomo G. 🇮🇹 ✓ Прогноз75.7%

market79%

Model estimate: win Darderi V A 24.3%, win Crisostomo G. 🇮🇹 75.7%. Model favourite — Crisostomo G. 🇮🇹.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Crisostomo G. 🇮🇹 (odds1.17) confidence 65% ✗ outcome missed

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Darderi V A - Crisostomo G. 🇮🇹 15 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Crisostomo G. 🇮🇹.

Line favourite market consensus: Crisostomo G. 🇮🇹. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 4.50 / 2 1.17
Glicko: Darderi V A 24.3% / Crisostomo G. 🇮🇹 75.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.7%

1 20.6%

2 ✓ Прогноз 79.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center

Start 15.07.2026 17:00 MSK

Coverage clay

Form 3 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Darderi V A - Crisostomo G. 🇮🇹

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 1 очных встреч.

Form 2/1 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Movement Line history

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:0

Events 0

Statistics 0

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Darderi V A 21.3% 24.3%

Crisostomo G. 🇮🇹 78.7% 75.7% market and model agree

1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 24.3% / 75.7% probabilities

Rating 1,500 / 1,322 Darderi V A / Crisostomo G. 🇮🇹

RD 236 / 294 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,029-1,972 / 734-1,909 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.17 market consensus · no value · model 75.7%

1 4.32 market consensus · no value · model 24.3%

Total

Over 19.5 1.76 market consensus · line only

Under 19.5 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Leon
П1 +5.5	1.66 60.2%
П2 -5.5	2.01 49.8%

Total

Outcome	Leon
ТБ 19.5	1.76 56.8%
ТМ 19.5	1.88 53.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Bet365	Leon
П1	4.50 22.2%	4.13 24.2%
П2	1.16 86.2%	1.17 85.5%

Match center

Darderi V A

L W

01.07 12:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Umag (Хорватия), грунт

Darderi V A 0:2 Мартин А. (Слк)

10.06 16:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Messina (Италия), грунт

Darderi V A 2:0 Crisostomo G. (Ита)

1 Wins

1 Losses

1.0 Sets won

1.0 Sets lost

50% Win percentage

Crisostomo G. 🇮🇹

10.06 16:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Messina (Италия), грунт

Crisostomo G. 🇮🇹 0:2 Darderi V. A. (Ита)

0 Wins

1 Losses

0.0 Sets won

2.0 Sets lost

0% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyDarderi V A - Crisostomo G. 🇮🇹

Darderi V A

1 matches total

Crisostomo G. 🇮🇹

Darderi V A: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Crisostomo G. 🇮🇹: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Darderi V. A. (Ита) 2:0 (10.06 16:00 UTC+0) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 10.06 16:00 UTC+0) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

10.06 16:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Messina (Италия), грунт

Darderi V. A. (Ита)

2:0

Crisostomo G. (Ита)