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ITF Men - Singles: M15 Gubbio (Italy), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Gubbio (Italy), clay
15.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction

Van der Meerschen M - Bilardo J. 🇮🇹

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M15 Gubbio (Italy), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Gubbio (Italy), clay clay 15.07.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
15.07.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
V
Van der Meerschen M
B
Bilardo J. 🇮🇹
2:0
Odds
P1 1.90 48.7% BetBoom
P2 1.80 51.4% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Bilardo J. 🇮🇹 — 51%

Pure model vs market (2 · Bilardo J. 🇮🇹): model 48% · market 51% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Van der Meerschen M48.9%
2 · Bilardo J. 🇮🇹51.1%

Model estimate: win Van der Meerschen M 48.9%, win Bilardo J. 🇮🇹 51.1%. Model favourite — Bilardo J. 🇮🇹.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Bilardo J. 🇮🇹 (odds1.80) confidence 51% ✗ outcome missed

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Van der Meerschen M - Bilardo J. 🇮🇹 15 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bilardo J. 🇮🇹.

Line favourite market consensus: Bilardo J. 🇮🇹. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.90 / 2 1.80
  • Glicko: Van der Meerschen M 48.9% / Bilardo J. 🇮🇹 51.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 48.6%
2 51.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Van der Meerschen M
7-3LWWWWWWWLL
scored 1.5conceded 0.9
Bilardo J. 🇮🇹

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 15.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 3 matches
Match center

Van der Meerschen M - Bilardo J. 🇮🇹

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Van der Meerschen M 48.7% 48.9%
Bilardo J. 🇮🇹 51.4% 51.1% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 48.9% / 51.1% probabilities
Rating 1,870 / 1,500 Van der Meerschen M / Bilardo J. 🇮🇹
RD 241 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,387-2,352 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.80 market consensus · no value · model 51.1%
1 1.88 market consensus · no value · model 48.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.78 market consensus · line only
1 +0.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.92 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Under 20.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
П1 +0.5 — 1.82 55.0%
П1 0 1.92 52.1% —
П2 -0.5 — 1.82 55.0%
П2 0 1.78 56.2% —

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
ТБ 20.5 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6%
ТМ 20.5 1.88 53.2% 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
П2 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9%
Match center
Van der Meerschen M
W W W W
05.07 11:30 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Liege (Бельгия) - квалификация, грунт
Van der Meerschen M 2:0 Kamath M. (Инд)
24.05 06:40 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 2 (Сербия), грунт
Van der Meerschen M 2:1 Gagliardo L. (Арг)Gagliardo L. (Арг)
23.05 05:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 2 (Сербия), грунт
Van der Meerschen M 2:0 Юхас К. (Сер)
22.05 05:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 2 (Сербия), грунт
Van der Meerschen M 1:0 Попович С. (Сер)
4 Wins
0 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.3 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Bilardo J. 🇮🇹
W W W
05.07 11:30 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Liege (Бельгия) - квалификация, грунт
Bilardo J. 🇮🇹 2:0 Kamath M. (Инд)
24.05 06:40 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 2 (Сербия), грунт
Bilardo J. 🇮🇹 2:1 Gagliardo L. (Арг)Gagliardo L. (Арг)
23.05 05:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 2 (Сербия), грунт
Bilardo J. 🇮🇹 2:0 Юхас К. (Сер)
3 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.3 Sets lost
100% Win percentage