ITF Men - Singles: M15 Monastir 27 (Tunisia), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Monastir 27 (Tunisia), hard

Sahtali T - Lazaro Juncadella M

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M15 Monastir 27 (Tunisia), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Monastir 27 (Tunisia), hard hard 15.07.2026 05:00 UTC Finished
15.07.2026 05:00 UTC Finished
S
Sahtali T
Lazaro Juncadella M
Lazaro Juncadella M
2:0
Odds
P1 1.34 71.1% BetBoom
P2 3.30 28.9% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Sahtali T67%

Pure model vs market (1 · Sahtali T): model 52% · market 71% Δ −19 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Sahtali T ✓ Прогноз67.5%
market71%
2 · Lazaro Juncadella M32.5%
market29%

Model estimate: win Sahtali T 67.5%, win Lazaro Juncadella M 32.5%. Model favourite — Sahtali T.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sahtali T (odds1.31) Score 2:1 confidence 66% ✓ outcome correct
  • Сахтали Т
  • (Алж) — Лалами Лаарусси Ю
  • (Мар) (теннис)
  • Сахтали Т
  • (Алж): форма ВВПВ (3-1)
  • Лалами Лаарусси Ю
  • (Мар): форма П (0-1)
  • Модель ставит на Сахтали Т
  • (Алж): вероятность 66% против 75% по линии (кэф 1.34)
  • перевеса над линией нет (-8 пп) — прогноз информационный.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sahtali T - Lazaro Juncadella M 15 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sahtali T.

Line favourite market consensus: Sahtali T. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.34 / 2 3.30
  • Glicko: Sahtali T 67.5% / Lazaro Juncadella M 32.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 ✓ Прогноз 71.1%
2 28.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 15.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 4 matches
Match center

Sahtali T - Lazaro Juncadella M

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 4/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sahtali T 69.3% 67.5% market and model agree
Lazaro Juncadella M 30.8% 32.5%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 67.5% / 32.5% probabilities
Rating 1,711 / 1,322 Sahtali T / Lazaro Juncadella M
RD 204 / 299 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,302-2,120 / 723-1,920 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.08 market consensus · no value · model 32.5%
1 1.31 market consensus · no value · model 67.5%
Total
Over 20.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Under 20.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
П1 -3.5 1.68 59.5%
П1 -4.5 1.96 51.0% 1.92 52.1%
П2 +3.5 1.98 50.5%
П2 +4.5 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
ТБ 20.5 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0%
ТМ 20.5 1.90 52.6% 1.82 55.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 1.34 74.6% 1.29 77.5% 1.31 76.3%
П2 3.00 33.3% 3.30 30.3% 2.95 33.9%
Match center
Sahtali T
W W L W
02.07 08:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Monastir 25 (Тунис), хард
Sahtali T 2:0 Trifi A. (Тун)
01.07 06:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Monastir 25 (Тунис), хард
Sahtali T 2:0 Махлуф Н. (Алж)
05.06 06:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Monastir 21 (Тунис), хард
Sahtali T 1:2 Dlimi Y. (Мар)Dlimi Y. (Мар)
30.05 07:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Monastir 20 (Тунис), хард
Sahtali T 2:1 Almazan Valiente I. (Исп)Almazan Valiente I. (Исп)
3 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
75% Win percentage
Lazaro Juncadella M
L
20.05 08:35 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M25 Mataro (Испания), грунт
Lazaro Juncadella M 0:2 Альварес Варона Н. (Исп)
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage