Smiej Y. 🇲🇦 - Andre S. (Sen)
About the athletes
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Andre S. (Sen) — 72%
Pure model vs market (2 · Andre S. (Sen)): model 50% · market 75% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Smiej Y. 🇲🇦 27.5%, win Andre S. (Sen) 72.5%. Model favourite — Andre S. (Sen).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Smiej Y
- • (Мар) — Andre S
- • (Сен) (теннис)
- • Smiej Y
- • (Мар): форма П (0-1)
- • Andre S
- • (Сен): форма ПП (0-2)
- • Модель ставит на Andre S
- • (Сен): вероятность 75% против 83% по линии (кэф 1.21)
- ✓ перевеса над линией нет (-8 пп) — прогноз информационный.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Smiej Y. 🇲🇦 - Andre S. (Sen) 15 июля 2026
Tennis math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Andre S. (Sen).
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 3.75 / 2 1.25
- Glicko: Smiej Y. 🇲🇦 27.5% / Andre S. (Sen) 72.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Smiej Y. 🇲🇦 - Andre S. (Sen)
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| П1 +4.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| П2 -4.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
Total
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| ТБ 20.5 | 1.93 51.8% |
| ТМ 20.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Bet365 | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| П1 | 3.75 26.7% | 3.63 27.6% |
| П2 | 1.25 80.0% | 1.21 82.6% |
Full head-to-head historySmiej Y. 🇲🇦 - Andre S. (Sen)