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ITF Men - Singles: M15 Nova Gorica (Slovenia), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Nova Gorica (Slovenia), clay
15.07.2026 08:30 UTC Match prediction

Gschiel A. 🇦🇹 - Toffanin N. 🇮🇹

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M15 Nova Gorica (Slovenia), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Nova Gorica (Slovenia), clay clay 15.07.2026 08:30 UTC Finished
15.07.2026 08:30 UTC Finished
G
Gschiel A. 🇦🇹
T
Toffanin N. 🇮🇹
2:0
Odds
P1 2.00 47.1% BetBoom
P2 1.78 52.9% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Toffanin N. 🇮🇹 — 52%

Pure model vs market (2 · Toffanin N. 🇮🇹): model 50% · market 53% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Gschiel A. 🇦🇹47.8%
2 · Toffanin N. 🇮🇹52.2%

Model estimate: win Gschiel A. 🇦🇹 47.8%, win Toffanin N. 🇮🇹 52.2%. Model favourite — Toffanin N. 🇮🇹.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Gschiel A. 🇦🇹 (odds2.00) confidence 49% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gschiel A. 🇦🇹 - Toffanin N. 🇮🇹 15 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Toffanin N. 🇮🇹.

Line favourite market consensus: Toffanin N. 🇮🇹. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.00 / 2 1.78
  • Glicko: Gschiel A. 🇦🇹 47.8% / Toffanin N. 🇮🇹 52.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 47.1%
2 52.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 15.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 2 matches
Match center

Gschiel A. 🇦🇹 - Toffanin N. 🇮🇹

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Gschiel A. 🇦🇹 47.6% 47.8%
Toffanin N. 🇮🇹 52.4% 52.2% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 47.8% / 52.2% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,437 Gschiel A. 🇦🇹 / Toffanin N. 🇮🇹
RD 350 / 255 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 926-1,947 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.75 market consensus · no value · model 52.2%
1 1.93 market consensus · no value · model 47.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
1 +0.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 20.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
П1 +0.5 1.80 55.6%
П1 -0.5 1.86 53.8%
П2 +0.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -0.5 1.83 54.6%

Total

Outcome Leon
ТБ 20.5 1.82 55.0%
ТМ 20.5 1.82 55.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365 Leon
П1 2.00 50.0% 1.86 53.8%
П2 1.72 58.1% 1.78 56.2%
Match center
Gschiel A. 🇦🇹
L W
08.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M25 Bastia-Lucciana +H (Франция), грунт
Gschiel A. 🇦🇹 0:2 Vulpitta G. (Ита)Vulpitta G. (Ита)
01.07 12:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Umag (Хорватия), грунт
Gschiel A. 🇦🇹 2:1 Юнис Ф. (Гер)
1 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.5 Sets lost
50% Win percentage
Toffanin N. 🇮🇹
L W
08.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M25 Bastia-Lucciana +H (Франция), грунт
Toffanin N. 🇮🇹 0:2 Vulpitta G. (Ита)Vulpitta G. (Ита)
01.07 12:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Umag (Хорватия), грунт
Toffanin N. 🇮🇹 2:1 Юнис Ф. (Гер)
1 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.5 Sets lost
50% Win percentage