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ITF Men - Singles: M15 Rochester, NY 🇺🇸, clay
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Rochester, NY 🇺🇸, clay
15.07.2026 20:00 MSK Match prediction

Willwerth B. 🇺🇸 - Falck R. (Nzl)

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M15 Rochester, NY 🇺🇸, clay
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Rochester, NY 🇺🇸, clay clay 15.07.2026 20:00 MSK Finished
15.07.2026 20:00 MSK Finished
W
Willwerth B. 🇺🇸
F
Falck R. (Nzl)
2:0
Odds
P1 1.25 75.9% BetBoom
P2 3.94 24.1% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Willwerth B. 🇺🇸 — 73%

Pure model vs market (1 · Willwerth B. 🇺🇸): model 49% · market 76% Δ −27 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Willwerth B. 🇺🇸 ✓ Прогноз73.3%
market76%
2 · Falck R. (Nzl)26.7%
market24%

Model estimate: win Willwerth B. 🇺🇸 73.3%, win Falck R. (Nzl) 26.7%. Model favourite — Willwerth B. 🇺🇸.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Willwerth B. 🇺🇸 (odds1.25) confidence 63% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Willwerth B. 🇺🇸 - Falck R. (Nzl) 15 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Willwerth B. 🇺🇸.

Line favourite market consensus: Willwerth B. 🇺🇸. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.25 / 2 3.94
  • Glicko: Willwerth B. 🇺🇸 73.3% / Falck R. (Nzl) 26.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 ✓ Прогноз 75.9%
2 24.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 15.07.2026 20:00 MSK
Coverage clay
Form 3 matches
Match center

Willwerth B. 🇺🇸 - Falck R. (Nzl)

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Willwerth B. 🇺🇸 76.0% 73.3% market and model agree
Falck R. (Nzl) 24.0% 26.7%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 73.3% / 26.7% probabilities
Rating 1,387 / 1,579 Willwerth B. 🇺🇸 / Falck R. (Nzl)
RD 290 / 247 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 807-1,968 / 1,086-2,072 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.85 market consensus · no value · model 26.7%
1 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 73.3%
Total
Over 19.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Over 20.5 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
П1 -4.5 1.65 60.6%
П1 -5.5 1.98 50.5%
П2 +4.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 +5.5 1.68 59.5%

Total

Outcome Leon
ТБ 19.5 1.73 57.8%
ТБ 20.5 1.92 52.1%
ТМ 19.5 1.91 52.4%
ТМ 20.5 1.72 58.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365 Leon
П1 1.25 80.0% 1.18 84.8%
П2 3.75 26.7% 3.94 25.4%
Match center
Willwerth B. 🇺🇸
L
08.07 16:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M25 Laval (Канада), хард
Willwerth B. 🇺🇸 1:2 Arseneault N. (Кан)
0 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Falck R. (Nzl)
L W
11.07 16:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Rancho Santa Fe, CA (США), хард
Falck R. (Nzl) 0:2 van Loben Sels E. (Сша)
09.07 16:15 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Rancho Santa Fe, CA (США), хард
Falck R. (Nzl) 2:0 Guajardo A. (Сша)
1 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
50% Win percentage