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ITF Men - Singles: M15 Sao Paulo (Brazil), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Sao Paulo (Brazil), clay
29.07.2026 16:30 UTC

Oliveira N - Vergara del Puerto M. (Par)

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Oliveira N — 77%

Pure model vs market (1 · Oliveira N): model 54% · market 81% Δ −27 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Oliveira N ✓ Pick77.2%
market81%
2 · Vergara del Puerto M. (Par)22.8%
market19%

Model estimate: win Oliveira N 77.2%, win Vergara del Puerto M. (Par) 22.8%. Model favourite — Oliveira N.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Oliveira N - Vergara del Puerto M. (Par) July 29, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Oliveira N. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.17 / 2 4.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.9%
1 ✓ Pick 80.7%
2 19.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M15 Sao Paulo (Brazil), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Sao Paulo (Brazil), clay clay 29.07.2026 16:30 UTC Not started
29.07.2026 16:30 UTC Not started
O
Oliveira N
V
Vergara del Puerto M. (Par)
-:-
Odds
P1 1.17 80.7% BetBoom
P2 4.90 19.3% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 29.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 3 matches
Match center

Oliveira N - Vergara del Puerto M. (Par)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Oliveira N 79.8% 77.2% market and model agree
Vergara del Puerto M. (Par) 20.2% 22.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 77.2% / 22.8% probabilities
Rating 1,552 / 1,500 Oliveira N / Vergara del Puerto M. (Par)
RD 175 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,201-1,903 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.64 market consensus · no value · model 22.8%
1 1.15 market consensus · no value · model 77.2%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7%
4.90 20.4% 4.50 22.2% 4.51 22.2%
Match center
Oliveira N
L L L W L
21.07 14:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Sao Paulo (Brazil), clay
Oliveira N 0:2 Dzanellato N. 🇧🇷
14.06 12:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Brasilia (Brazil), clay
Oliveira N 1:2 Ernandes A. (Mek)Ernandes A. (Mek)
13.06 14:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Brasilia (Brazil), clay
Oliveira N 0:2 Villanueva G. 🇦🇷
13.06 13:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Brasilia (Brazil), clay
Oliveira N 2:0 Osorio J. S. 🇨🇴Osorio J. S. 🇨🇴
06.06 18:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Cuiaba (Brazil), clay
Oliveira N 1:2 Zarate C. M. 🇦🇷Zarate C. M. 🇦🇷
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Vergara del Puerto M. (Par)
L L L
21.07 14:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Sao Paulo (Brazil), clay
Vergara del Puerto M. (Par) 0:2 Dzanellato N. 🇧🇷
14.06 12:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Brasilia (Brazil), clay
Vergara del Puerto M. (Par) 1:2 Ernandes A. (Mek)Ernandes A. (Mek)
13.06 14:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Brasilia (Brazil), clay
Vergara del Puerto M. (Par) 0:2 Villanueva G. 🇦🇷
0 Wins
3 Losses
0.3 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage