Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
World Tennis. Men. China
World Tennis. Men. China

Sun Qian - Lu H. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
Tennis World Tennis. Men. China
World Tennis. Men. China hard 06.08.2026 03:30 UTC Finished
06.08.2026 03:30 UTC Finished
S
Sun Qian
Rank #930 Elo 24
44Struggling Form
L L W W L W W L
L
Lu H. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³
0Very Bad Form
L W W W L W W W
0:2
Coverage: hard
Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
#930 Rating -
25 Age -
1.88m Height (cm) -
78kg Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Sun Qian Lu H. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³
Aces per match 7.00 N/A
Double faults per match 4.5 N/A
Breaks per match 11 N/A

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Qian Sun
Rank:930 Elo: 24
L L W W L W W L
Hanlei Lu
L W W W L W W W

Hard

Qian SunHanlei Lu
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 8 / 16 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 48.3% 14 / 29 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Aces Per Match 7.00 N/A
Most Aces in a match 100 % N/A

Clay

Qian SunHanlei Lu
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Aces Per Match N/A N/A
Most Aces in a match N/A N/A

Grass

Qian SunHanlei Lu
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Aces Per Match N/A N/A
Most Aces in a match N/A N/A

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Qian Sun Hanlei Lu
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 44.4% 8 / 18 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 43.8% 14 / 32 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Current rank 930 -

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Qian Sun Hanlei Lu
Prize money (career) $16,369 USD $0 USD
Rating 930 β€”
Age 25 β€”
Height 1.88m β€”
Weight 78kg β€”

Win percentage (match / set)

Qian Sun Hanlei Lu
Match Wins 44 % N/A
Match Wins (3 Sets) 50 % N/A
Wins in Straight Sets 22 % N/A
Wins From Behind 17 % N/A
Won At Least 1 Set 67 % N/A
Set 1 Win 56 % N/A
Set 2 Win 33 % N/A
Set 3 Win 50 % N/A

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Qian Sun Hanlei Lu Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.94 N/A 4.47
Over 6.5 100 % N/A 50 %
Over 7.5 88 % N/A 44 %
Over 8.5 75 % N/A 37 %
Over 9.5 56 % N/A 28 %
Over 10.5 38 % N/A 19 %
Over 11.5 38 % N/A 19 %

Aces

Qian Sun Hanlei Lu Match total
Aces Per Match 7.00 N/A N/A
Most Aces in a match 100 % N/A N/A
1+ 100 % N/A N/A
2+ 100 % N/A N/A
3+ 100 % N/A N/A
4+ 100 % N/A N/A
5+ 50 % N/A N/A

Breaks

Qian Sun Hanlei Lu Match total
Breaks Per Match 11 N/A N/A
Over 0.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 1.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 2.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 3.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 4.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 5.5 100 % N/A N/A

Tie-breaks

Qian Sun Hanlei Lu Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.38 N/A N/A
Over 0.5 38 % N/A 18 %
Over 1.5 0 % N/A N/A
Under 0.5 63 % N/A 18 %
Under 1.5 100 % N/A N/A

Double faults

Qian Sun Hanlei Lu Match total
Double Faults Per Match 4.5 N/A N/A
Over 0.5 (1+) 100 % N/A N/A
Over 1.5 (2+) 100 % N/A N/A
Over 2.5 (3+) 100 % N/A N/A
Over 3.5 (4+) 50 % N/A N/A
Over 4.5 (5+) 50 % N/A N/A
Over 5.5 (6+) 50 % N/A N/A

Net points

Qian Sun Hanlei Lu Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 5.5 N/A N/A
Over 4.5 (5+) 0 % N/A N/A
Over 5.5 (6+) 0 % N/A N/A
Over 6.5 (7+) 0 % N/A N/A
Over 7.5 (8+) 0 % N/A N/A
Over 8.5 (9+) 0 % N/A N/A
Over 9.5 (10+) 0 % N/A N/A

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.31 73.4% BetBoom
P2 3.61 26.6% BetBoom

Sun Qian go head-to-head with Lu H. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ on August 6, 2026 in the World Tennis. Men. China.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 70% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Sun Qian β€” 70%

Pure model vs market (1 Β· Sun Qian): model 54% Β· market 72% Ξ” βˆ’18 pp model estimates below the market

1 Β· Sun Qian ✓ Pick70.1%
market72%
2 Β· Lu H. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³29.9%
market28%

Model estimate: win Sun Qian 70.1%, win Lu H. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ 29.9%. Model favourite β€” Sun Qian.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sun Qian (odds1.28) Score 2:0 confidence 70% βœ— outcome missed
  • Sun Ts
  • πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ β€” Lu H
  • πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ (tennis)
  • Sun Ts
  • πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³: forma VPPVP (2-3)
  • Model backs Sun Ts
  • πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³: probability 70% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.28)
  • no edge over the line (-8 pp) β€” informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sun Qian - Lu H. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sun Qian.

Line favourite market consensus: Sun Qian. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.31 / 2 3.61
  • Glicko: Sun Qian 70.1% / Lu H. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ 29.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 3 books Β· best price +1.6%
1 ✓ Pick 71.9%
2 28.1%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Sun Qian
72%
1.31
Lu H. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³
28%
3.61

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Match center
Start 06.08.2026 03:30 UTC
Market 1 73.4% @ 1.31 / 2 26.6% @ 3.61
Coverage hard
Form 3 matches
πŸ₯Š Humans vs Machines
πŸ“ Math model Sun Qian 70%
πŸ’Ή Market Sun Qian 72%
Every pick locked before kickoff Β· public log
Match center

Sun Qian - Lu H. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 70.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.983 / LogLoss 1.207
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 52.4% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.549 / LogLoss 0.743
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sun Qian 71.9% 70.1% market and model agree
Lu H. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ 28.1% 29.9%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 70.1% / 29.9% probabilities
Rating 1,552 / 1,500 Sun Qian / Lu H. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³
RD 172 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,207-1,897 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.35 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 29.9%
1 1.27 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 70.1%
Total
Over 19.5 1.90 market consensus Β· line only
Under 19.5 1.74 market consensus Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.76 56.8%
1.89 52.9%
1.88 53.2%
1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 19.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 19.5 1.74 57.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.21 82.6%
3.15 31.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.61 27.7%
Match center
Sun Qian
W
04.08 03:00 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M15 Tianjin (China), hard
Sun Qian 2:0 Kikuchi Y. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅Kikuchi Y. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Lu H. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³
W L L
04.08 03:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Tianjin (China), hard
Lu H. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ 2:0 Kikuchi Y. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅Kikuchi Y. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅
15.07 09:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Wuning 6 (China), hard
Lu H. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ 1:2 Muto S. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅Muto S. πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅
04.06 00:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Luan 3 (China), hard
Lu H. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ 0:2 Zeng Y. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³Zeng Y. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³
1 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.3 Sets lost
33% Win percentage