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ITF Men - Singles: M15 Xativa (Spain), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Xativa (Spain), clay
30.07.2026 06:00 UTC

Ernandes K. 🇪🇸 - Alvarez Sarmiento M L

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Ernandes K. 🇪🇸 — 58%

1 · Ernandes K. 🇪🇸 ✓ Pick58.0%
market76%
2 · Alvarez Sarmiento M L42.0%
market24%

Model estimate: win Ernandes K. 🇪🇸 58.0%, win Alvarez Sarmiento M L 42.0%. Model favourite — Ernandes K. 🇪🇸.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ernandes K. 🇪🇸 - Alvarez Sarmiento M L July 30, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Ernandes K. 🇪🇸. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.21 / 2 3.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 ✓ Pick 76.3%
2 23.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M15 Xativa (Spain), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M15 Xativa (Spain), clay clay 30.07.2026 06:00 UTC Not started
30.07.2026 06:00 UTC Not started
E
Ernandes K. 🇪🇸
A
Alvarez Sarmiento M L
-:-
Odds
P1 1.22 75.7% BetBoom
P2 3.80 24.3% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 30.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Ernandes K. 🇪🇸 - Alvarez Sarmiento M L

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ernandes K. 🇪🇸 75.7% 58.0% market and model agree
Alvarez Sarmiento M L 24.3% 42.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 58.0% / 42.0% probabilities
Rating 1,582 / 1,422 Ernandes K. 🇪🇸 / Alvarez Sarmiento M L
RD 206 / 186 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,171-1,993 / 1,051-1,794 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.90 market consensus · no value · model 42.0%
1 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 58.0%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.21 82.6% 1.21 82.6%
3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6%
Match center
Ernandes K. 🇪🇸
L L W W
22.07 07:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Denia (Spain), clay
Ernandes K. 🇪🇸 0:2 Bennani RBennani R
15.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Gandia (Spain), clay
Ernandes K. 🇪🇸 1:2 Pedrico Kravtsov A. 🇪🇸
03.07 11:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Getxo (Spain), clay
Ernandes K. 🇪🇸 2:1 Zelinski M. 🇵🇱
01.07 11:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Getxo (Spain), clay
Ernandes K. 🇪🇸 2:1 Ymer R. 🇸🇪
2 Wins
2 Losses
1.3 Sets won
1.5 Sets lost
50% Win percentage
Alvarez Sarmiento M L
L W L L W
23.07 05:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Denia (Spain), clay
Alvarez Sarmiento M L 0:2 Angelini L. 🇮🇹Angelini L. 🇮🇹
22.07 11:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Denia (Spain), clay
Alvarez Sarmiento M L 2:0 Talavera Cortes E. 🇪🇸
16.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Gandia (Spain), clay
Alvarez Sarmiento M L 0:2 Barranko Kh. 🇪🇸Barranko Kh. 🇪🇸
02.07 07:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Getxo (Spain), clay
Alvarez Sarmiento M L 0:2 Gutierrez O. J. 🇪🇸Gutierrez O. J. 🇪🇸
01.07 07:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Getxo (Spain), clay
Alvarez Sarmiento M L 2:0 Garcia Paez L. 🇪🇸
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage