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ITF Men - Singles: M25 Bolzano (Italy), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Bolzano (Italy), clay
28.07.2026 09:00 UTC

Mecarelli M. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น - Orlov V

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M25 Bolzano (Italy), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Bolzano (Italy), clay clay 28.07.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
28.07.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
M
Mecarelli M. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
O
Orlov V
-:-
Odds
P1 2.90 32.6% BetBoom
P2 1.40 67.4% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
๐ŸŽฏ PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Orlov V โ€” 66%

Pure model vs market (2 ยท Orlov V): model 61% ยท market 75% ฮ” โˆ’14 pp model estimates below the market

1 ยท Mecarelli M. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น33.6%
market25%
2 ยท Orlov V ✓ Pick66.4%
market75%

Model estimate: win Mecarelli M. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 33.6%, win Orlov V 66.4%. Model favourite โ€” Orlov V.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Orlov V (odds1.26) Score 0:2 confidence 72%
  • • Mecarelli M
  • • ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น โ€” Orlov V
  • • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (tennis)
  • • Mecarelli M
  • • ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น: forma PVVPP (2-3)
  • • Orlov V
  • • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Model backs Orlov V
  • • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ: probability 72% vs 79% on the line (odds 1.26)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) โ€” informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mecarelli M. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น - Orlov V July 28, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Orlov V. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.70 / 2 1.22

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 24.8%
2 ✓ Pick 75.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 28.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Mecarelli M. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น - Orlov V

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mecarelli M. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 32.9% 33.6%
Orlov V 67.1% 66.4% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 33.6% / 66.4% probabilities
Rating 1,523 / 2,034 Mecarelli M. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น / Orlov V
RD 198 / 142 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,127-1,920 / 1,750-2,318 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.22 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 66.4%
1 3.70 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 33.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet ยท line only
2 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet ยท line only
1 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet ยท line only
1 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet ยท line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.60 Fonbet ยท line only
Over 18.5 2.02 Fonbet ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
— 1.85 54.1%
— 2.00 50.0%
— 2.30 43.5%
1.95 51.3% —
— 1.95 51.3%
— 1.92 52.1%
— 1.90 52.6%
— 1.85 54.1%
— 1.72 58.1%
— 1.55 64.5%
— 2.55 39.2%
— 2.45 40.8%
— 1.60 62.5%
— 2.35 42.6%
— 1.75 57.1%
— 1.78 56.2%
— 1.80 55.6%
1.76 56.8% —

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 17.5 — 1.60 62.5%
Over 18.5 — 2.02 49.5%
Over 19.5 — 1.70 58.8%
Over 20.5 1.81 55.3% 2.02 49.5%
Over 21.5 — 1.80 55.6%
Over 22.5 — 1.60 62.5%
Over 23.5 — 1.87 53.5%
Over 24.5 — 1.82 55.0%
Over 25.5 — 1.82 55.0%
Over 26.5 — 1.80 55.6%
Over 27.5 — 1.82 55.0%
Over 28.5 — 1.80 55.6%
Under 17.5 — 2.20 45.5%
Under 18.5 — 1.70 58.8%
Under 19.5 — 2.02 49.5%
Under 20.5 1.90 52.6% 1.70 58.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
2.73 36.6% 2.90 34.5% 3.70 27.0%
1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Mecarelli M. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
L W W L L
24.07 06:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Segrate (Italy), clay
Mecarelli M. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 1:2 Van der Mershen M. ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช
22.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Segrate (Italy), clay
Mecarelli M. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 2:0 Tognolini A. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
21.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Segrate (Italy), clay
Mecarelli M. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 2:0 Borrelli L. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
15.07 17:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Gubbio (Italy), clay
Mecarelli M. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 0:2 Noche G. M. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
09.07 06:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bucharest 2 (Romania), clay
Mecarelli M. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 1:2 Breazu M. F. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ดBreazu M. F. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Orlov V
W W W W W
22.07 07:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Ollersbach (Austria), clay
Orlov V 2:1 Masabayashi T. ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ตMasabayashi T. ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต
19.07 06:45 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Kramsach (Austria), clay
Orlov V 2:1 Viskandt M. ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช
18.07 07:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Kramsach (Austria), clay
Orlov V 2:0 Ruland L. ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช
17.07 07:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Kramsach (Austria), clay
Orlov V 2:0 Stakheli L. ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ
15.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Kramsach (Austria), clay
Orlov V 2:0 Hipfl N. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น
5 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
100% Win percentage