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ITF Men - Singles: M25 Brisbane (Australia), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Brisbane (Australia), hard
15.07.2026 01:00 UTC Match prediction

Bil Dzh. 🇦🇺 - Ogura K. 🇯🇵

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M25 Brisbane (Australia), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Brisbane (Australia), hard hard 15.07.2026 01:00 UTC Finished
15.07.2026 01:00 UTC Finished
B
Bil Dzh. 🇦🇺
O
Ogura K. 🇯🇵
2:0
Odds
P1 1.76 53.2% BetBoom
P2 2.00 46.8% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Bil Dzh. 🇦🇺 — 53%

Pure model vs market (1 · Bil Dzh. 🇦🇺): model 49% · market 53% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Bil Dzh. 🇦🇺53.3%
2 · Ogura K. 🇯🇵46.7%

Model estimate: win Bil Dzh. 🇦🇺 53.3%, win Ogura K. 🇯🇵 46.7%. Model favourite — Bil Dzh. 🇦🇺.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Bil Dzh. 🇦🇺 (odds1.76) confidence 52% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bil Dzh. 🇦🇺 - Ogura K. 🇯🇵 15 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bil Dzh. 🇦🇺.

Line favourite market consensus: Bil Dzh. 🇦🇺. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.76 / 2 2.00
  • Glicko: Bil Dzh. 🇦🇺 53.3% / Ogura K. 🇯🇵 46.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.8%
1 53.2%
2 46.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 15.07.2026 01:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 3 matches
Match center

Bil Dzh. 🇦🇺 - Ogura K. 🇯🇵

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bil Dzh. 🇦🇺 53.8% 53.3% market and model agree
Ogura K. 🇯🇵 46.2% 46.7%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 53.3% / 46.7% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,623 Bil Dzh. 🇦🇺 / Ogura K. 🇯🇵
RD 350 / 171 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,281-1,965 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.97 market consensus · no value · model 46.7%
1 1.72 market consensus · no value · model 53.3%
Total
Over 20.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
Under 20.5 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
П1 -1.5 1.90 52.6% 1.83 54.6%
П2 +1.5 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
ТБ 20.5 1.80 55.6% 1.77 56.5%
ТМ 20.5 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 1.76 56.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.69 59.2%
П2 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.97 50.8%
Match center
Bil Dzh. 🇦🇺
L L W
08.07 00:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Tokyo 4 (Япония), хард
Bil Dzh. 🇦🇺 1:2 Ясика О. (Авс)
30.06 00:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Tokyo 3 (Япония), хард
Bil Dzh. 🇦🇺 0:2 Шин С. (Кор)Шин С. (Кор)
08.06 23:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Tokyo (Япония), хард
Bil Dzh. 🇦🇺 2:0 Oki Y. (Япо)Oki Y. (Япо)
1 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.3 Sets lost
33% Win percentage
Ogura K. 🇯🇵
L L W L L
08.07 00:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Tokyo 4 (Япония), хард
Ogura K. 🇯🇵 1:2 Ясика О. (Авс)
30.06 00:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Tokyo 3 (Япония), хард
Ogura K. 🇯🇵 0:2 Шин С. (Кор)Шин С. (Кор)
08.06 23:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Tokyo (Япония), хард
Ogura K. 🇯🇵 2:0 Oki Y. (Япо)Oki Y. (Япо)
02.06 22:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Harmon (Гуам), хард
Ogura K. 🇯🇵 0:2 Чжу Э. (Сша)
23.05 01:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Luan (Китай), хард
Ogura K. 🇯🇵 0:2 Сунь Ц. (Кит)
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.6 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
20% Win percentage