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ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay
04.08.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction

Arnaboldi F - Ciavarella N

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay clay 04.08.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
Arnaboldi F
Arnaboldi F
C
Ciavarella N
2:0 7:5 6:1
1 2 GP
Arnaboldi F 7 6 2
Ciavarella N 5 1 0
1 2
Odds
P1 1.10 84.9% BetBoom
P2 6.20 15.1% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0

Arnaboldi F go head-to-head with Ciavarella N on August 4, 2026 in the ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 82% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Arnaboldi F — 82%

Pure model vs market (1 · Arnaboldi F): model 60% · market 85% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Arnaboldi F ✓ Pick82.1%
market85%
2 · Ciavarella N17.9%
market15%

Model estimate: win Arnaboldi F 82.1%, win Ciavarella N 17.9%. Model favourite — Arnaboldi F.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arnaboldi F - Ciavarella N August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arnaboldi F.

Line favourite Fonbet: Arnaboldi F. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00
  • Glicko: Arnaboldi F 82.1% / Ciavarella N 17.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3% 4 books · best price +1.9%
1 ✓ Pick 85.0%
2 15.1%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 04.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 91.6% @ 1.01 / 2 8.4% @ 11.00
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Arnaboldi F - Ciavarella N

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Arnaboldi F Ciavarella N Result
Set 1 7 5 7:5
Set 2 6 1 6:1
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 82.1% fact: home hit / ROI 10.0% / Brier 0.064 / LogLoss 0.197
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 53.9% fact: home hit / ROI 10.0% / Brier 0.426 / LogLoss 0.619
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Arnaboldi F 84.6% 82.1% market and model agree
Ciavarella N 15.4% 17.9%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 82.1% / 17.9% probabilities
Rating 1,424 / 1,196 Arnaboldi F / Ciavarella N
RD 163 / 234 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,098-1,749 / 729-1,663 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.00 market consensus · no value · model 17.9%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 82.1%
Total
Over 17.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
— 1.78 56.2% —
— 1.70 58.8% —
— 1.70 58.8% —
— 1.75 57.1% —
— 1.80 55.6% —
2.02 49.5% 1.03 97.1% —
— 3.40 29.4% —
— — 2.06 48.5%
1.70 58.8% — 1.64 61.0%
— 1.92 52.1% —
— 2.02 49.5% —
— 2.02 49.5% —
— 1.95 51.3% —
— 1.90 52.6% —
— 7.70 13.0% —
— 1.25 80.0% —

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 17.5 — 1.85 54.1% —
Over 18.5 1.78 56.2% 1.25 80.0% 1.80 55.6%
Over 19.5 — 7.70 13.0% —
Over 20.5 — 1.90 52.6% —
Over 21.5 — 1.95 51.3% —
Over 22.5 — 2.02 49.5% —
Over 23.5 — 1.95 51.3% —
Under 17.5 — 1.85 54.1% —
Under 18.5 1.93 51.8% 3.40 29.4% 1.83 54.6%
Under 19.5 — 1.03 97.1% —
Under 20.5 — 1.80 55.6% —
Under 21.5 — 1.75 57.1% —
Under 22.5 — 1.70 58.8% —
Under 23.5 — 1.75 57.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.10 90.9% 1.09 91.7% 1.01 99.0% 1.07 93.5%
5.80 17.2% 6.00 16.7% 11.00 9.1% 6.20 16.1%
Match center
Arnaboldi F
L L W W L
30.07 13:37 UTC+0 World Tennis. Men. Italy
Arnaboldi F 0:2 Kopp SKopp S
30.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Bolzano (Italy), clay
Arnaboldi F 0:2 Kopp S. 🇦🇹Kopp S. 🇦🇹
29.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Bolzano (Italy), clay
Arnaboldi F 2:1 Oradini Dzh. 🇮🇹
28.07 05:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Bolzano (Italy), clay
Arnaboldi F 2:0 Buldorini P. 🇮🇪Buldorini P. 🇮🇪
19.07 07:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Tampere (Finland) - Qualifying, clay
Arnaboldi F 1:2 Pokhola P. 🇫🇮
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Ciavarella N
L L L
28.07 06:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Bolzano (Italy), clay
Ciavarella N 0:2 Andreev A. 🇧🇴
20.07 10:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Segrate (Italy), clay
Ciavarella N 1:2 Ciurnelli R. 🇮🇹
20.05 04:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bucharest (Romania), hard
Ciavarella N 0:2 Papoe R. M. 🇷🇴Papoe R. M. 🇷🇴
0 Wins
3 Losses
0.3 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyArnaboldi F - Ciavarella N

Arnaboldi F
0 matches total
Ciavarella N
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history