PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay
06.08.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction

Arnaboldi F - Primucci L

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay clay 06.08.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
06.08.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
Arnaboldi F
Arnaboldi F
W
P
Primucci L
0:2
Odds
P1 1.06 86.2% BetBoom
P2 6.60 13.8% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0

Arnaboldi F meet Primucci L on August 6, 2026 in the ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 49% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Primucci L — 51%

1 · Arnaboldi F48.7%
2 · Primucci L51.3%

Model estimate: win Arnaboldi F 48.7%, win Primucci L 51.3%. Model favourite — Primucci L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arnaboldi F - Primucci L August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arnaboldi F.

Line favourite market consensus: Arnaboldi F. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.03 / 2 7.50
  • Glicko: Arnaboldi F 48.7% / Primucci L 51.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.4%
1 87.9%
2 12.1%

Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 06.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 87.9% @ 1.03 / 2 12.1% @ 7.50
Coverage clay
Form 5 matches
Match center

Arnaboldi F - Primucci L

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 51.3% fact: away hit / ROI 560.0% / Brier 0.475 / LogLoss 0.668
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 50.2% fact: away hit / ROI 560.0% / Brier 0.497 / LogLoss 0.690
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Arnaboldi F 86.2% 48.7% market favourite
Primucci L 13.8% 51.3% Glicko contrarian
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 48.7% / 51.3% probabilities
Rating 1,448 / 1,556 Arnaboldi F / Primucci L
RD 155 / 237 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,139-1,757 / 1,083-2,029 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.50 market consensus · weak value +284.4% · model 51.3%
1 1.03 market consensus · no value · model 48.7%
Total
Over 17.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Under 17.5 1.97 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.79 55.9%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 17.5 1.69 59.2%
Under 17.5 1.97 50.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
1.03 97.1%
7.50 13.3%
Match center
Arnaboldi F
W
04.08 08:00 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay
Arnaboldi F 2:0 Ciavarella N. 🇮🇹
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Primucci L
L W
28.07 09:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Bolzano (Italy), clay
Primucci L 0:2 D'Agostino S. 🇮🇹
08.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Bastia-Lucciana +H (France), clay
Primucci L 2:0 Haupt H. 🇩🇪
1 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyArnaboldi F - Primucci L

Arnaboldi F
0 matches total
Primucci L
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history