Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay

05.08.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction

Buldorini P. 🇮🇪 - Serafini M. 🇮🇹

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay

ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay clay 05.08.2026 08:00 UTC Finished

05.08.2026 08:00 UTC Finished

Buldorini P. 🇮🇪

Serafini M. 🇮🇹

0:2

Odds

P1 2.50 37.0% BetBoom

P2 1.47 63.0% BetBoom

Coverage: clay

Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -

- Rating -

- Age -

- Height (cm) -

- Weight (kg) -

- Hand -

- Seed -

clay Coverage clay

0 H2H 0

Buldorini P. 🇮🇪 take on Serafini M. 🇮🇹 on August 5, 2026 in the ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 38% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Serafini M. 🇮🇹 — 62%

Pure model vs market (2 · Serafini M. 🇮🇹): model 55% · market 61% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Buldorini P. 🇮🇪37.8%

market39%

2 · Serafini M. 🇮🇹 ✓ Pick62.2%

market61%

Model estimate: win Buldorini P. 🇮🇪 37.8%, win Serafini M. 🇮🇹 62.2%. Model favourite — Serafini M. 🇮🇹.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Serafini M. 🇮🇹 (odds1.47) Score 1:2 confidence 62% ✓ outcome correct

• Buldorini P
• 🇮🇪 — Serafini M
• 🇮🇹 (tennis)
• Buldorini P
• 🇮🇪: forma PPVPP (1-4)
• Serafini M
• 🇮🇹: forma VVPP (2)
• Model backs Serafini M
• 🇮🇹: probability 62% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.47)
• no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Buldorini P. 🇮🇪 - Serafini M. 🇮🇹 August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Serafini M. 🇮🇹.

Line favourite market consensus: Serafini M. 🇮🇹. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.35 / 2 1.52
Glicko: Buldorini P. 🇮🇪 37.8% / Serafini M. 🇮🇹 62.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.3% 3 books

1 39.3%

2 ✓ Pick 60.7%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center

Start 05.08.2026 08:00 UTC

Market 1 39.3% @ 2.35 / 2 60.7% @ 1.52

Coverage clay

Form 6 matches

Match center

Buldorini P. 🇮🇪 - Serafini M. 🇮🇹

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/4 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line Overview

More needed

H2H Championat, Flashscore

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Movement Line history

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 0:2

Events 0

Statistics 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 62.2% fact: away hit / ROI 47.0% / Brier 0.286 / LogLoss 0.475

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 51.5% fact: away hit / ROI 47.0% / Brier 0.471 / LogLoss 0.664

Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Buldorini P. 🇮🇪 37.0% 37.8%

Serafini M. 🇮🇹 63.0% 62.2% market and model agree

1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model

P1 / P2 37.8% / 62.2% probabilities

Rating 1,222 / 1,458 Buldorini P. 🇮🇪 / Serafini M. 🇮🇹

RD 204 / 192 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 814-1,631 / 1,074-1,842 strength interval

HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.51 market consensus · no value · model 62.2%

1 2.34 market consensus · no value · model 37.8%

Total

Over 20.5 1.73 market consensus · line only

Over 21.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Betcity	Leon
	1.94 51.6%	1.91 52.4%
	—	1.78 56.2%
	1.77 56.5%	1.73 57.8%
	—	1.86 53.8%

Total

Outcome	Betcity	Leon
Over 20.5	—	1.73 57.8%
Over 21.5	1.87 53.5%	1.84 54.4%
Under 20.5	—	1.91 52.4%
Under 21.5	1.83 54.6%	1.79 55.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
	2.35 42.6%	2.35 42.6%	2.31 43.3%
	1.52 65.8%	1.52 65.8%	1.50 66.7%

Match center

Buldorini P. 🇮🇪

L L W L L

28.07 05:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Bolzano (Italy), clay

Buldorini P. 🇮🇪 0:2 Arnaboldi F. 🇮🇹

23.07 08:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Segrate (Italy), clay

Buldorini P. 🇮🇪 1:2 Ghazouani Durand Y. 🇫🇷

21.07 07:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Segrate (Italy), clay

Buldorini P. 🇮🇪 2:1 Rispoli N. 🇮🇹

15.07 09:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Gubbio (Italy), clay

Buldorini P. 🇮🇪 1:2 Homberg M. 🇩🇪

01.06 07:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Centurion 2 (South Africa) - Qualifying, hard

Buldorini P. 🇮🇪 0:2 Dalmasso G. 🇫🇷

1 Wins

4 Losses

0.8 Sets won

1.8 Sets lost

20% Win percentage

Serafini M. 🇮🇹

W W L L

03.08 18:45 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay

Serafini M. 🇮🇹 2:0 Baragiola Mordini T. C. 🇮🇹

29.07 10:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Wels (Austria), clay

Serafini M. 🇮🇹 2:1 Gschiel A. 🇦🇹

16.07 17:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Gubbio (Italy), clay

Serafini M. 🇮🇹 1:2 Basile P. 🇮🇹

08.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Lodz (Poland), clay

Serafini M. 🇮🇹 0:2 Rossi L. 🇮🇹

2 Wins

2 Losses

1.3 Sets won

1.3 Sets lost

50% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBuldorini P. 🇮🇪 - Serafini M. 🇮🇹

Buldorini P. 🇮🇪

0 matches total

Serafini M. 🇮🇹

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Buldorini P. 🇮🇪 - Serafini M. 🇮🇹

About the athletes

AI match prediction Buldorini P. 🇮🇪 - Serafini M. 🇮🇹 August 5, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Buldorini P. 🇮🇪 - Serafini M. 🇮🇹

Match markets

Handicap

Total

Outcome (1X2)

Match history