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ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay
05.08.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction

Catini N - Vasa I. 🇫🇮

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay clay 05.08.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
05.08.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
C
Catini N
Vasa I. 🇫🇮
Vasa I. 🇫🇮
W
2:0
Odds
P2 1.50 100.0% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0

Catini N go head-to-head with Vasa I. 🇫🇮 on August 5, 2026 in the ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 49% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Vasa I. 🇫🇮 — 51%

1 · Catini N49.2%
2 · Vasa I. 🇫🇮50.8%

Model estimate: win Catini N 49.2%, win Vasa I. 🇫🇮 50.8%. Model favourite — Vasa I. 🇫🇮.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Vasa I. 🇫🇮 (odds1.50) Score 1:2 confidence 51% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Catini N
  • • 🇮🇹 — Vasa I
  • • 🇫🇮 (tennis)
  • • Catini N
  • • 🇮🇹: forma PVVP (2)
  • • Vasa I
  • • 🇫🇮: forma VPVP (2)
  • • Model backs Vasa I
  • • 🇫🇮: probability 51% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
  • • no edge over the line (-16 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Catini N - Vasa I. 🇫🇮 August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Vasa I. 🇫🇮.

Line favourite market consensus: Vasa I. 🇫🇮. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.35 / 2 1.55
  • Glicko: Catini N 49.2% / Vasa I. 🇫🇮 50.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0% 3 books · best price +1.3%
1 40.1%
2 59.9%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Catini N
3-7WLWLLWLLLL
scored 0.7conceded 1.5
Vasa I. 🇫🇮

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 05.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 39.7% @ 2.35 / 2 60.3% @ 1.55
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Catini N - Vasa I. 🇫🇮

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 4/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 1 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 50.8% fact: home missed / Brier 0.516 / LogLoss 0.709
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 50.1% fact: home missed / Brier 0.502 / LogLoss 0.695
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Catini N - 49.2%
Vasa I. 🇫🇮 100.0% 50.8% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 49.2% / 50.8% probabilities
Rating 1,520 / 1,609 Catini N / Vasa I. 🇫🇮
RD 203 / 196 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,114-1,926 / 1,217-2,000 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.53 market consensus · no value · model 50.8%
1 2.31 market consensus · weak value +13.7% · model 49.2%
Total
Over 21.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Under 21.5 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.94 51.6% 1.86 53.8%
1.77 56.5% 1.78 56.2%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
Over 21.5 1.86 53.8% 1.80 55.6%
Under 21.5 1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
2.30 43.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.27 44.1%
1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8%
Match center
Catini N
L W W L
10.07 05:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bucharest 2 (Romania), clay
Catini N 1:2 Snitari I. 🇲🇩Snitari I. 🇲🇩
09.07 05:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bucharest 2 (Romania), clay
Catini N 2:0 Marinescu M. R. 🇷🇴
08.07 07:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Bucharest 2 (Romania), clay
Catini N 2:1 McDonald B. 🇺🇸
14.06 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Parma (Italy) - Qualifying, clay
Catini N 0:2 Martin Manzano J. C. 🇮🇹
2 Wins
2 Losses
1.3 Sets won
1.3 Sets lost
50% Win percentage
Vasa I. 🇫🇮
W
04.08 08:00 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay
Vasa I. 🇫🇮 2:1 Planinsek F. 🇸🇮
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage