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ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay

Darderi V. A. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น - D'Agostino S. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction

Darderi V. A. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น meet D'Agostino S. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น on August 5, 2026 in the ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay.

Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

๐ŸŽฏ PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 D'Agostino S. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น โ€” 87%

Pure model vs market (2 ยท D'Agostino S. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น): model 53% ยท market 83% ฮ” โˆ’30 pp model estimates below the market

1 ยท Darderi V. A. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น13.2%
market17%
2 ยท D'Agostino S. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น ✓ Pick86.8%
market83%

Model estimate: win Darderi V. A. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 13.2%, win D'Agostino S. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 86.8%. Model favourite โ€” D'Agostino S. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Darderi V. A. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น - D'Agostino S. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: D'Agostino S. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 6.20 / 2 1.12

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2% 3 books
1 17.5%
2 ✓ Pick 82.6%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay clay 05.08.2026 18:00 UTC Not started
05.08.2026 18:00 UTC Not started
Darderi V. A. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
Darderi V. A. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
D
D'Agostino S. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
-:-
Odds
P1 9.90 9.3% BetBoom
P2 1.02 90.7% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 05.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 15.3% @ 6.20 / 2 84.7% @ 1.12
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Darderi V. A. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น - D'Agostino S. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Darderi V. A. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 9.4% 13.2%
D'Agostino S. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 90.6% 86.8% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 13.2% / 86.8% probabilities
Rating 1,563 / 1,717 Darderi V. A. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น / D'Agostino S. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
RD 216 / 151 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,132-1,994 / 1,415-2,020 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.10 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 86.8%
1 5.60 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 13.2%
Total
Over 18.5 1.86 market consensus ยท line only
Over 19.5 1.88 market consensus ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.59 62.9% 1.56 64.1%
1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2%
2.22 45.1% 2.18 45.9%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
Over 18.5 1.87 53.5% 1.84 54.4%
Over 19.5 1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8%
Under 18.5 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6%
Under 19.5 1.81 55.3% 1.77 56.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
5.30 18.9% 5.30 18.9% 6.20 16.1%
1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3% 1.07 93.5%
Match center
Darderi V. A. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
W L W
15.07 14:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Gubbio (Italy), clay
Darderi V. A. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 2:0 Crisostomo G. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
01.07 12:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Umag (Croatia), clay
Darderi V. A. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 0:2 Martin AndresMartin Andres
10.06 16:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Messina (Italy), clay
Darderi V. A. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 2:0 Crisostomo G. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
2 Wins
1 Losses
1.3 Sets won
0.7 Sets lost
67% Win percentage
D'Agostino S. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
L W W L W
29.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Bolzano (Italy), clay
D'Agostino S. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 0:2 Vays A. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
28.07 09:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Bolzano (Italy), clay
D'Agostino S. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 2:0 Primucci L. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡นPrimucci L. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
15.07 11:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Gubbio (Italy), clay
D'Agostino S. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 2:0 Geladaris O. ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท
04.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Store (Slovenia), clay
D'Agostino S. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 1:2 Wiedenmann L. ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ชWiedenmann L. ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช
03.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Store (Slovenia), clay
D'Agostino S. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 2:0 Savano M. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage