ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clayclay06.08.2026 13:30 UTCFinished
06.08.2026 13:30 UTCFinished
Overbeck C E
Rank #846Elo 30
69Average Form
WWLWLWWW
D
D'Agostino S
Rank #344Elo 152
74Good Form
WLWWLWWW
2:1
Coverage: clay
Preview
About the athletes
-Country-
#846Rating#344
22Age24
1.83mHeight (cm)1.93m
83kgWeight (kg)82kg
-Hand-
-Seed-
clayCoverageclay
0H2H0
Serve and return stats
Overbeck C E
D'Agostino S
Aces per match
N/A
7.67
Double faults per match
N/A
2.42
Breaks per match
N/A
1.88
Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)
TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return
Stefano D'Agostino
Rank:846Elo: 30
WWLWLWWW
Carl Emil Overbeck
Rank:344Elo: 152
WLWWLWWW
Elo favourite:Overbeck C E(edge +122 Elo)
Hard
Stefano D'Agostino
Carl Emil Overbeck
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year
71.4% 5 / 7 Matches
75.0% 27 / 36 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months
63.6% 7 / 11 Matches
74.2% 46 / 62 Matches
Clay
Stefano D'Agostino
Carl Emil Overbeck
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year
65.0% 13 / 20 Matches
0.0% 0 / 2 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months
61.9% 13 / 21 Matches
0.0% 0 / 4 Matches
Grass
Stefano D'Agostino
Carl Emil Overbeck
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year
N/A 0 / 0 Matches
N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months
N/A 0 / 0 Matches
N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Source:tennisstats.com
H2H series (tennisstats)
Stefano D'Agostino
Carl Emil Overbeck
H2H wins
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Sets
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Wins this year
69.0% 20 / 29 Matches
73.8% 31 / 42 Matches
Wins in 12 mo.
64.7% 22 / 34 Matches
71.4% 50 / 70 Matches
Current rank
846
344
Source: tennisstats.com
Profile and percentages (tennisstats)
Stefano D'Agostino
Carl Emil Overbeck
Prize money (career)
$17,380 USD
$9,002 USD
Rating
846
344
Age
22
24
Height
1.83m
1.93m
Weight
83kg
82kg
Win percentage (match / set)
Stefano D'Agostino
Carl Emil Overbeck
Match Wins
69 %
74 %
Match Wins (3 Sets)
67 %
71 %
Wins in Straight Sets
52 %
50 %
Wins From Behind
25 %
31 %
Won At Least 1 Set
83 %
81 %
Set 1 Win
69 %
67 %
Set 2 Win
66 %
64 %
Set 3 Win
56 %
77 %
Source:tennisstats.com
Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)
Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.
Total games
Stefano D'Agostino
Carl Emil Overbeck
Match total
Average Games in a Set
9.66
9.76
9.71
Over 6.5
100 %
95 %
98 %
Over 7.5
89 %
84 %
87 %
Over 8.5
70 %
71 %
71 %
Over 9.5
44 %
45 %
45 %
Over 10.5
26 %
26 %
26 %
Over 11.5
26 %
26 %
26 %
Aces
Stefano D'Agostino
Carl Emil Overbeck
Match total
Aces Per Match
N/A
7.67
N/A
Most Aces in a match
N/A
50 %
N/A
1+
N/A
92 %
N/A
2+
N/A
92 %
N/A
3+
N/A
83 %
N/A
4+
N/A
58 %
N/A
5+
N/A
58 %
N/A
Breaks
Stefano D'Agostino
Carl Emil Overbeck
Match total
Breaks Per Match
N/A
1.88
N/A
Over 0.5
N/A
92 %
N/A
Over 1.5
N/A
67 %
N/A
Over 2.5
N/A
0 %
N/A
Over 3.5
N/A
0 %
N/A
Over 4.5
N/A
0 %
N/A
Over 5.5
N/A
0 %
N/A
Tie-breaks
Stefano D'Agostino
Carl Emil Overbeck
Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match
0.41
0.5
0.45
Over 0.5
33 %
39 %
36 %
Over 1.5
7 %
8 %
8 %
Under 0.5
67 %
61 %
36 %
Under 1.5
93 %
92 %
8 %
Double faults
Stefano D'Agostino
Carl Emil Overbeck
Match total
Double Faults Per Match
N/A
2.42
N/A
Over 0.5 (1+)
N/A
83 %
N/A
Over 1.5 (2+)
N/A
67 %
N/A
Over 2.5 (3+)
N/A
50 %
N/A
Over 3.5 (4+)
N/A
33 %
N/A
Over 4.5 (5+)
N/A
8 %
N/A
Over 5.5 (6+)
N/A
0 %
N/A
Net points
Stefano D'Agostino
Carl Emil Overbeck
Match total
Net Points Won Per Match
N/A
7.05
N/A
Over 4.5 (5+)
N/A
80 %
N/A
Over 5.5 (6+)
N/A
70 %
N/A
Over 6.5 (7+)
N/A
60 %
N/A
Over 7.5 (8+)
N/A
50 %
N/A
Over 8.5 (9+)
N/A
20 %
N/A
Over 9.5 (10+)
N/A
20 %
N/A
Source:tennisstats.com
Odds
P11.22
77.1% BetBoom
P24.10
22.9% BetBoom
Overbeck C E take on D'Agostino S on August 6, 2026 in the ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay.
PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 76% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1Overbeck C E — 76%
Pure model vs market (1 · Overbeck C E): model 61% · market 75%Δ −14 ppmodel estimates below the market
76%1
1 · Overbeck C E ✓ Pick75.6%
market75%
2 · D'Agostino S24.4%
market25%
Model estimate: win Overbeck C E 75.6%, win D'Agostino S 24.4%. Model favourite — Overbeck C E.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Overbeck C E (odds1.24)Score 2:0confidence 76%✓ outcome correct
•Overbeck C
•E
•🇩🇰 — D'Agostino S
•🇮🇹 (tennis)
•Overbeck C
•E
•🇩🇰: forma VPVVV (4-1)
•D'Agostino S
•🇮🇹: forma PVVPV (3-2)
•Model backs Overbeck C
•E
•🇩🇰: probability 76% vs 81% on the line (odds 1.24)
•no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Overbeck C E - D'Agostino S August 6, 2026
Tennis math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Overbeck C E.
Line favourite market consensus: Overbeck C E. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.27 / 2 4.00
Glicko: Overbeck C E 75.6% / D'Agostino S 24.4%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.2%
5 books · best price +3.3%
1 ✓ Pick75.1%
225.0%
Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
%
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Match result
Overbeck C E
75%
1.27
D'Agostino S
25%
4.00
Total
Over 20.5
51%
1.82
Under 20.5
49%
1.95
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Match center
Start06.08.2026 13:30 UTC
Market1 75.9% @ 1.27 / 2 24.1% @ 4.00
Coverageclay
Form6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math modelOverbeck C E 76%
💹 MarketOverbeck C E 75%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Overbeck C E - D'Agostino S
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form1/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
MovementLine history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score2:1
Events0
Statistics0
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Overbeck C E77.2%67.5%model more cautious than market
D'Agostino S22.8%32.5%
1X2: 3 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko75.6% · +Elo prior (weight0.33).
Tennis math model
P1 / P275.6% / 24.4%
probabilities
Rating1,977 / 1,717
Overbeck C E / D'Agostino S
RD169 / 151
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,638-2,315 / 1,415-2,020
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
23.65
market consensus · no value · model 24.4%
11.24
market consensus · no value · model 75.6%
Total
Over 19.51.74
market consensus · line only
Over 20.51.80
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
Outcome
Baltbet
Betcity
Leon
1.7756.5%
1.7258.1%
1.7457.5%
2.0349.3%
—
2.0349.3%
1.9451.6%
2.0050.0%
1.9152.4%
1.7058.8%
—
1.6461.0%
Total
Outcome
Baltbet
Betcity
Leon
Over 19.5
1.7656.8%
—
1.7258.1%
Over 20.5
1.8255.0%
1.7656.8%
1.8255.0%
Under 19.5
1.9551.3%
—
1.9252.1%
Under 20.5
1.8853.2%
1.9551.3%
1.8155.3%
Outcome (1X2)
Outcome
Baltbet
Betcity
Kambi BetMGM
Kambi Unibet
Leon
1.2381.3%
1.2182.6%
1.2778.7%
1.2778.7%
1.2083.3%
3.7027.0%
4.0025.0%
3.4029.4%
3.4029.4%
3.7326.8%
Match center
Overbeck C E
W
05.08 08:00 UTCITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay
Overbeck C E2:0Noche G. M. 🇮🇹
1Wins
0Losses
2.0Sets won
0.0Sets lost
100%Win percentage
D'Agostino S
LWWLW
29.07 06:00 UTC+0ITF Men - Singles: M25 Bolzano (Italy), clay
D'Agostino S0:2Vays A. 🇮🇹
28.07 09:00 UTC+0ITF Men - Singles: M25 Bolzano (Italy), clay
D'Agostino S2:0Primucci L. 🇮🇹
15.07 11:00 UTC+0ITF Men - Singles: M15 Gubbio (Italy), clay
D'Agostino S2:0Geladaris O
04.07 06:00 UTC+0ITF Men - Singles: M15 Store (Slovenia), clay
D'Agostino S1:2Wiedenmann L. 🇩🇪
03.07 06:00 UTC+0ITF Men - Singles: M15 Store (Slovenia), clay
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Primucci L. 🇮🇹
Geladaris O
Wiedenmann L. 🇩🇪