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ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay
06.08.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction

Primucci L - Catini N

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay clay 06.08.2026 12:00 UTC Finished
06.08.2026 12:00 UTC Finished
P
Primucci L
Rank #887 Elo 27
32Bad Form
W W L W W L L L
C
Catini N
Rank #1173 Elo 12
25Very Bad Form
W W L L L W L W
2:0
Coverage: clay
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Primucci L Catini N
Win % 50% 49.8%
Hard % 46.7% 50%
Clay % 51.4% 49.7%
Grass % 0% 0%
Deciding set % 42.9% 44.1%
Tie-breaks % 50% 36.8%
Titles (total) 0 0
Last 10 WWLWWLLWLW WWLWWLLLWL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#887 Rating #1173
28 Age -
1.78m Height (cm) -
73kg Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Primucci L Catini N
Aces per match 1.00 N/A
Double faults per match 11 N/A
Breaks per match 7.5 N/A

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Niccolo Catini
Rank:887 Elo: 27
W W L W W L L L
Leonardo Primucci
Rank:1173 Elo: 12
W W L L L W L W
Elo favourite:Catini N (edge +15 Elo)

Hard

Niccolo CatiniLeonardo Primucci
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 16.7% 1 / 6 Matches 0.0% 0 / 3 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 50.0% 10 / 20 Matches 0.0% 0 / 5 Matches
Aces Per Match N/A N/A
Most Aces in a match N/A N/A

Clay

Niccolo CatiniLeonardo Primucci
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 33.3% 4 / 12 Matches 21.4% 3 / 14 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 38.9% 7 / 18 Matches 25.0% 5 / 20 Matches
Aces Per Match 1.00 N/A
Most Aces in a match 0 % N/A

Grass

Niccolo CatiniLeonardo Primucci
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Aces Per Match N/A N/A
Most Aces in a match N/A N/A

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Niccolo Catini Leonardo Primucci
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 31.8% 7 / 22 Matches 25.0% 5 / 20 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 47.7% 21 / 44 Matches 25.0% 7 / 28 Matches
Current rank 887 1173

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Niccolo Catini Leonardo Primucci
Prize money (career) $29,749 USD $0 USD
Rating 887 1173
Age 28 —
Height 1.78m —
Weight 73kg —

Win percentage (match / set)

Niccolo Catini Leonardo Primucci
Match Wins 32 % 25 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 28 % 18 %
Wins in Straight Sets 23 % 25 %
Wins From Behind 6 % 0 %
Won At Least 1 Set 50 % 55 %
Set 1 Win 45 % 40 %
Set 2 Win 29 % 40 %
Set 3 Win 33 % 0 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Niccolo Catini Leonardo Primucci Match total
Average Games in a Set 8.68 9.9 9.29
Over 6.5 83 % 88 % 86 %
Over 7.5 67 % 82 % 75 %
Over 8.5 39 % 65 % 52 %
Over 9.5 33 % 47 % 40 %
Over 10.5 17 % 29 % 23 %
Over 11.5 17 % 29 % 23 %

Aces

Niccolo Catini Leonardo Primucci Match total
Aces Per Match 1.00 N/A N/A
Most Aces in a match 0 % N/A N/A
1+ 100 % N/A N/A
2+ 0 % N/A N/A
3+ 0 % N/A N/A
4+ 0 % N/A N/A
5+ 0 % N/A N/A

Breaks

Niccolo Catini Leonardo Primucci Match total
Breaks Per Match 7.5 N/A N/A
Over 0.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 1.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 2.5 100 % N/A N/A
Over 3.5 0 % N/A N/A
Over 4.5 0 % N/A N/A
Over 5.5 0 % N/A N/A

Tie-breaks

Niccolo Catini Leonardo Primucci Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.22 0.41 0.32
Over 0.5 22 % 35 % 29 %
Over 1.5 0 % 6 % 3 %
Under 0.5 78 % 65 % 29 %
Under 1.5 100 % 94 % 3 %

Double faults

Niccolo Catini Leonardo Primucci Match total
Double Faults Per Match 11 N/A N/A
Over 0.5 (1+) 100 % N/A N/A
Over 1.5 (2+) 100 % N/A N/A
Over 2.5 (3+) 100 % N/A N/A
Over 3.5 (4+) 100 % N/A N/A
Over 4.5 (5+) 100 % N/A N/A
Over 5.5 (6+) 100 % N/A N/A

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 2.49 36.5% BetBoom
P2 1.43 63.5% BetBoom

Primucci L take on Catini N on August 6, 2026 in the ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay.

Recent form (W-D-L): Primucci L 1-0-0, Catini N 1-0-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 50% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Catini N — 50%

1 · Primucci L49.6%
2 · Catini N50.4%

Model estimate: win Primucci L 49.6%, win Catini N 50.4%. Model favourite — Catini N.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Catini N (odds1.59) Score 1:2 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Primucci L
  • • 🇮🇹 — Catini N
  • • 🇮🇹 (tennis)
  • • Primucci L
  • • 🇮🇹: forma VPV (2-1)
  • • Catini N
  • • 🇮🇹: forma VPVVP (3-2)
  • • Model backs Catini N
  • • 🇮🇹: probability 50% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.59)
  • • no edge over the line (-12 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Primucci L - Catini N August 6, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Catini N.

Line favourite market consensus: Catini N. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.54 / 2 1.42
  • Glicko: Primucci L 49.6% / Catini N 50.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.8%
1 35.9%
2 64.1%

Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Primucci L

no data

Catini N
3-7WLWLLWLLLL
scored 0.7conceded 1.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 06.08.2026 12:00 UTC
Market 1 35.9% @ 2.54 / 2 64.1% @ 1.42
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Catini N 50%
💹 Market Catini N 64%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Primucci L - Catini N

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 50.4% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.509 / LogLoss 0.702
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 50.1% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.501 / LogLoss 0.694
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Primucci L 36.5% 49.7%
Catini N 63.5% 50.3% model more cautious than market
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko49.6% · +Elo prior (weight0.50).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 49.6% / 50.4% probabilities
Rating 1,556 / 1,633 Primucci L / Catini N
RD 237 / 182 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,083-2,029 / 1,268-1,998 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.42 market consensus · no value · model 50.4%
1 2.54 market consensus · weak value +25.9% · model 49.6%
Total
Over 21.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Over 22.5 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.86 53.8%
1.78 56.2%
1.80 55.6%
1.77 56.5%
1.86 53.8%
1.84 54.4%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 21.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 22.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 21.5 1.77 56.5%
Under 22.5 1.70 58.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
2.54 39.4%
1.42 70.4%
Match center
Primucci L
W
06.08 08:00 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay
Primucci L 2:0 Arnaboldi F. 🇮🇹Arnaboldi F. 🇮🇹
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Catini N
W
05.08 08:00 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M25 Fano (Italy), clay
Catini N 2:0 Vasa I. 🇫🇮Vasa I. 🇫🇮
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPrimucci L - Catini N

Primucci L
0 matches total
Catini N
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history