TennisITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hardhard05.08.2026 09:00 UTCFinished
05.08.2026 09:00 UTCFinished
D
De Jonge D
W
Almazan Valiente I
W
1:2
Odds
P12.20
42.1% BetBoom
P21.60
57.9% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview
About the athletes
-Country-
-Rating-
-Age-
-Height (cm)-
-Weight (kg)-
-Hand-
-Seed-
hardCoveragehard
0H2H0
De Jonge D face Almazan Valiente I on August 5, 2026 in the ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard.
Recent form (W-D-L): De Jonge D 1-0-0, Almazan Valiente I 1-0-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 43% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2Almazan Valiente I — 57%
Pure model vs market (2 · Almazan Valiente I): model 51% · market 60%Δ −9 ppmodel estimates below the market
57%2
1 · De Jonge D42.8%
2 · Almazan Valiente I ✓ Pick57.2%
Model estimate: win De Jonge D 42.8%, win Almazan Valiente I 57.2%. Model favourite — Almazan Valiente I.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
•🇪🇸: probability 57% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.59)
•no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction De Jonge D - Almazan Valiente I August 5, 2026
Tennis math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Almazan Valiente I.
Line favourite market consensus: Almazan Valiente I. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.35 / 2 1.55
Glicko: De Jonge D 42.8% / Almazan Valiente I 57.2%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.3%
3 books
140.3%
2 ✓ Pick59.7%
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⚔
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
De Jonge D
9-1WWWWWWWWWL
scored 1.9conceded 0.2
Almazan Valiente I
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Match center
Start05.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Market1 39.7% @ 2.35 / 2 60.3% @ 1.55
Coveragehard
Form6 matches
Match center
De Jonge D - Almazan Valiente I
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form1/1
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
MovementLine history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score1:2
Events0
Statistics0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
OptionSignalPrediction / actualRating
Glicko-2: base favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage
away - 57.2% fact: away
hit / ROI 60.0% / Brier 0.367 / LogLoss 0.559
Glicko-2: calibrated favouriteAudit
tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed
Data: line, form, coverage
away - 50.9% fact: away
hit / ROI 60.0% / Brier 0.483 / LogLoss 0.676
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
De Jonge D42.1%42.8%
Almazan Valiente I57.9%57.2%market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P242.8% / 57.2%
probabilities
Rating1,693 / 1,775
De Jonge D / Almazan Valiente I
RD200 / 207
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,292-2,093 / 1,361-2,190
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.54
market consensus · no value · model 57.2%
12.29
market consensus · no value · model 42.8%
Total
Over 21.51.85
market consensus · line only
Under 21.51.82
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
Outcome
Betcity
Leon
1.9451.6%
1.8454.4%
1.7656.8%
1.8055.6%
Total
Outcome
Betcity
Leon
Over 21.5
1.8653.8%
1.8454.4%
Under 21.5
1.8454.4%
1.7955.9%
Outcome (1X2)
Outcome
Baltbet
Betcity
Leon
2.3043.5%
2.3542.6%
2.2145.3%
1.5564.5%
1.5265.8%
1.5464.9%
Match center
De Jonge D
W
04.08 11:15 UTCITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard
De Jonge D2:0Gonzalez-Galino V. 🇪🇸
1Wins
0Losses
2.0Sets won
0.0Sets lost
100%Win percentage
Almazan Valiente I
W
04.08 11:10 UTCITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard
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