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ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard
04.08.2026 08:00 UTC

Gonzalez Fernandez M - Lagutin P. (World)

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Gonzalez Fernandez M face Lagutin P. (World) on August 4, 2026 in the ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Lagutin P. (World) — 63%

Pure model vs market (2 · Lagutin P. (World)): model 60% · market 64% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Gonzalez Fernandez M36.6%
market36%
2 · Lagutin P. (World) ✓ Pick63.4%
market64%

Model estimate: win Gonzalez Fernandez M 36.6%, win Lagutin P. (World) 63.4%. Model favourite — Lagutin P. (World).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Lagutin P. (World) (odds1.45) Score 1:2 confidence 63%
  • • Fernades-Gonsales M
  • • 🇪🇸 — Lagutin P
  • • (World) (tennis)
  • • Fernades-Gonsales M
  • • 🇪🇸: forma PVVPP (2-3)
  • • Lagutin P
  • • (World): forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Model backs Lagutin P
  • • (World): probability 63% vs 69% on the line (odds 1.45)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gonzalez Fernandez M - Lagutin P. (World) August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Lagutin P. (World). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.55 / 2 1.45

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2% 3 books
1 36.3%
2 ✓ Pick 63.8%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard hard 04.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
04.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
G
Gonzalez Fernandez M
L
Lagutin P. (World)
-:-
Odds
P1 2.55 36.3% BetBoom
P2 1.45 63.8% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 04.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 36.3% @ 2.55 / 2 63.8% @ 1.45
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Gonzalez Fernandez M - Lagutin P. (World)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Gonzalez Fernandez M 36.3% 36.6%
Lagutin P. (World) 63.8% 63.4% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 36.6% / 63.4% probabilities
Rating 1,553 / 2,016 Gonzalez Fernandez M / Lagutin P. (World)
RD 160 / 164 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,234-1,872 / 1,689-2,343 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.45 market consensus · no value · model 63.4%
1 2.53 market consensus · no value · model 36.6%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
2.55 39.2% 2.55 39.2% 2.48 40.3%
1.45 69.0% 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4%
Match center
Gonzalez Fernandez M
L W W L L
22.07 15:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Segoviya (Spain), hard
Gonzalez Fernandez M 0:2 Smit K. 🇺🇸Smit K. 🇺🇸
20.07 12:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Segoviya (Spain), hard
Gonzalez Fernandez M 2:1 Tobon M. 🇨🇴Tobon M. 🇨🇴
12.07 16:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Pozoblanko (Spain) - Qualifying, hard
Gonzalez Fernandez M 2:0 Dev E. D. 🇮🇳
02.07 07:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Figueira da Foz (Portugal), hard
Gonzalez Fernandez M 1:2 Torres T. 🇵🇹Torres T. 🇵🇹
03.06 10:45 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Centurion 2 (South Africa), hard
Gonzalez Fernandez M 0:2 Montsi Kh. 🇿🇦Montsi Kh. 🇿🇦
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Lagutin P. (World)
W W W W W
30.07 13:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Xativa (Spain), clay
Lagutin P. (World) 2:0 Mazdrashki A
26.07 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Denia (Spain), clay
Lagutin P. (World) 2:0 Rodenas P
25.07 14:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Denia (Spain), clay
Lagutin P. (World) 2:0 Lopes Montagud K. 🇪🇸
24.07 05:45 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Denia (Spain), clay
Lagutin P. (World) 2:0 Angelini L. 🇮🇹Angelini L. 🇮🇹
22.07 07:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Denia (Spain), clay
Lagutin P. (World) 2:0 Ferrer M. X. 🇪🇸
5 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage