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ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard
04.08.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction

Heredia S - Potenza L

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard hard 04.08.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 08:00 UTC Finished
H
Heredia S
P
Potenza L
0:2 5:7 1:6
1 2 GP
Heredia S 5 1 0
Potenza L 7 6 2
1 2
Odds
P1 2.45 38.4% BetBoom
P2 1.53 61.6% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Heredia S go head-to-head with Potenza L on August 4, 2026 in the ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 40% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Potenza L — 60%

Pure model vs market (2 · Potenza L): model 46% · market 62% Δ −16 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Heredia S39.7%
market38%
2 · Potenza L ✓ Pick60.3%
market62%

Model estimate: win Heredia S 39.7%, win Potenza L 60.3%. Model favourite — Potenza L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Potenza L (odds1.50) Score 1:2 confidence 59% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Heredia S
  • • 🇨🇴 — Potentsa L
  • • 🇮🇹 (tennis)
  • • Heredia S
  • • 🇨🇴: forma PPVVV (3-2)
  • • Potentsa L
  • • 🇮🇹: forma V (1-0)
  • • Model backs Potentsa L
  • • 🇮🇹: probability 59% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Heredia S - Potenza L August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Potenza L.

Line favourite Fonbet: Potenza L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.30 / 2 1.07
  • Glicko: Heredia S 39.7% / Potenza L 60.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.7% 4 books · best price +3.4%
1 38.0%
2 ✓ Pick 62.1%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Heredia S
6-4LLWWLWWLWW
scored 1.4conceded 0.8
Potenza L
4-6LLWLWLWWLL
scored 0.9conceded 1.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 04.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 14.5% @ 6.30 / 2 85.5% @ 1.07
Coverage hard
Form 4 matches
Match center

Heredia S - Potenza L

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Heredia S Potenza L Result
Set 1 5 7 5:7
Set 2 1 6 1:6
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 60.3% fact: away hit / ROI 53.0% / Brier 0.316 / LogLoss 0.506
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 51.2% fact: away hit / ROI 53.0% / Brier 0.476 / LogLoss 0.669
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Heredia S 38.1% 39.7%
Potenza L 61.9% 60.3% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 39.7% / 60.3% probabilities
Rating 1,738 / 1,673 Heredia S / Potenza L
RD 157 / 276 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,424-2,052 / 1,121-2,225 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.07 Fonbet · no value · model 60.3%
1 6.30 Fonbet · no value · model 39.7%
Total
Over 19.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.90 52.6% —
2.02 49.5% 1.93 51.8%
1.88 53.2% 1.72 58.1%
1.90 52.6% —
1.70 58.8% —
1.88 53.2% —
1.80 55.6% —
1.70 58.8% —
1.82 55.0% —
1.80 55.6% —
2.02 49.5% —
1.82 55.0% —
— 1.72 58.1%
— 1.92 52.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 19.5 1.90 52.6% —
Over 20.5 1.68 59.5% —
Over 21.5 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
Over 22.5 1.95 51.3% —
Over 23.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 19.5 1.80 55.6% —
Under 20.5 2.05 48.8% —
Under 21.5 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6%
Under 22.5 1.75 57.1% —
Under 23.5 1.80 55.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.45 40.8% 2.34 42.7% 6.30 15.9% 2.39 41.8%
1.49 67.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.07 93.5% 1.47 68.0%
Match center
Heredia S
L L W W W
20.07 07:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Segoviya (Spain) - Qualifying, hard
Heredia S 0:2 Dzhunta M. 🇮🇹
12.07 14:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Pozoblanko (Spain) - Qualifying, hard
Heredia S 1:2 Almazan Valiente I. 🇪🇸Almazan Valiente I. 🇪🇸
03.07 13:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Kito (Ecuador), clay
Heredia S 2:0 Monson I. 🇦🇷
02.07 13:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Kito (Ecuador), clay
Heredia S 2:0 Ribeyro E. 🇧🇷Ribeyro E. 🇧🇷
30.06 20:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Kito (Ecuador), clay
Heredia S 2:0 Ribeiro de Almeida G. 🇧🇷
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Potenza L
W
05.07 10:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Trieste (Italy) - Qualifying, clay
Potenza L 2:1 Angelini L. 🇮🇹Angelini L. 🇮🇹
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHeredia S - Potenza L

Heredia S
0 matches total
Potenza L
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history