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ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard
05.08.2026 16:00 UTC

Kolombo A. 🇮🇹 - Castellanos Y. 🇪🇸

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Kolombo A. 🇮🇹 take on Castellanos Y. 🇪🇸 on August 5, 2026 in the ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard.

Recent form (W-D-L): Kolombo A. 🇮🇹 1-0-0, Castellanos Y. 🇪🇸 1-0-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Kolombo A. 🇮🇹 — 51%

1 · Kolombo A. 🇮🇹51.2%
2 · Castellanos Y. 🇪🇸48.8%

Model estimate: win Kolombo A. 🇮🇹 51.2%, win Castellanos Y. 🇪🇸 48.8%. Model favourite — Kolombo A. 🇮🇹.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kolombo A. 🇮🇹 - Castellanos Y. 🇪🇸 August 5, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Kolombo A. 🇮🇹. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.05 / 2 6.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.7%
1 86.8%
2 13.2%

Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard hard 05.08.2026 16:00 UTC Not started
05.08.2026 16:00 UTC Not started
K
Kolombo A. 🇮🇹
W
C
Castellanos Y. 🇪🇸
W
-:-
Odds
P1 1.05 86.8% BetBoom
P2 6.90 13.2% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 05.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 86.8% @ 1.05 / 2 13.2% @ 6.90
Coverage hard
Form 4 matches
Match center

Kolombo A. 🇮🇹 - Castellanos Y. 🇪🇸

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kolombo A. 🇮🇹 86.8% 51.2% market and model agree
Castellanos Y. 🇪🇸 13.2% 48.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 51.2% / 48.8% probabilities
Rating 1,575 / 1,613 Kolombo A. 🇮🇹 / Castellanos Y. 🇪🇸
RD 199 / 290 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,178-1,972 / 1,032-2,193 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.90 market consensus · weak value +236.6% · model 48.8%
1 1.05 market consensus · no value · model 51.2%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.77 56.5%
1.87 53.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
1.05 95.2%
6.90 14.5%
Match center
Kolombo A. 🇮🇹
W
04.08 09:30 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard
Kolombo A. 🇮🇹 2:0 Regas Luis No. 🇪🇸
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Castellanos Y. 🇪🇸
W
03.08 19:00 UTC ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard
Castellanos Y. 🇪🇸 2:1 Roche Alcaya P. 🇪🇸
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage