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ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard
04.08.2026 11:10 UTC Match prediction

McCormick T - Almazan Valiente I

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard hard 04.08.2026 11:10 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 11:10 UTC Finished
M
McCormick T
Almazan Valiente I
Almazan Valiente I
0:2 3:6 5:7
1 2 GP
McCormick T 3 5 0
Almazan Valiente I 6 7 2
1 2
Odds
P1 2.90 32.2% BetBoom
P2 1.38 67.8% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

McCormick T meet Almazan Valiente I on August 4, 2026 in the ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 35% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Almazan Valiente I — 65%

Pure model vs market (2 · Almazan Valiente I): model 41% · market 68% Δ −27 pp model estimates below the market

1 · McCormick T34.7%
market32%
2 · Almazan Valiente I ✓ Pick65.3%
market68%

Model estimate: win McCormick T 34.7%, win Almazan Valiente I 65.3%. Model favourite — Almazan Valiente I.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1McCormick T (odds2.90) Score 2:1 confidence 59% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Makkormik T
  • • 🇺🇸 — Almazan Valiente I
  • • 🇪🇸 (tennis)
  • • Makkormik T
  • • 🇺🇸: forma VVVVP (4-1)
  • • Almazan Valiente I
  • • 🇪🇸: forma PVVPP (2-3)
  • • Model backs Makkormik T
  • • 🇺🇸: probability 59% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.90)
  • • edge over the line +25 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction McCormick T - Almazan Valiente I August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Almazan Valiente I.

Line favourite Fonbet: Almazan Valiente I. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: McCormick T 34.7% / Almazan Valiente I 65.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1% 4 books · best price +2.6%
1 31.8%
2 ✓ Pick 68.2%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

McCormick T
7-3WWWLLLWWWW
scored 1.7conceded 0.6
Almazan Valiente I

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 04.08.2026 11:10 UTC
Market 1 8.4% @ 11.00 / 2 91.6% @ 1.01
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

McCormick T - Almazan Valiente I

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set McCormick T Almazan Valiente I Result
Set 1 3 6 3:6
Set 2 5 7 5:7
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 65.3% fact: away hit / ROI 38.0% / Brier 0.240 / LogLoss 0.425
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 51.8% fact: away hit / ROI 38.0% / Brier 0.464 / LogLoss 0.657
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
McCormick T 31.9% 34.7%
Almazan Valiente I 68.1% 65.3% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 34.7% / 65.3% probabilities
Rating 1,840 / 1,630 McCormick T / Almazan Valiente I
RD 183 / 218 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,474-2,207 / 1,194-2,066 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 65.3%
1 2.86 market consensus · no value · model 34.7%
Total
Over 18.5 2.13 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.93 51.8% 2.70 37.0% 1.87 53.5%
— 7.10 14.1% —
— 1.20 83.3% —
— 1.70 58.8% —
— 1.40 71.4% —
— 1.03 97.1% —
— 3.75 26.7% —
— 2.02 49.5% —
1.78 56.2% — 1.77 56.5%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 18.5 — 2.13 47.0% —
Over 19.5 — 2.25 44.4% —
Over 20.5 — 1.90 52.6% —
Over 21.5 1.85 54.1% 6.80 14.7% 1.83 54.6%
Over 22.5 — 2.10 47.6% —
Over 27.5 — 1.85 54.1% —
Over 28.5 — 1.82 55.0% —
Under 18.5 — 1.63 61.4% —
Under 19.5 — 1.58 63.3% —
Under 20.5 — 1.80 55.6% —
Under 21.5 1.85 54.1% 1.06 94.3% 1.80 55.6%
Under 22.5 — 1.65 60.6% —
Under 27.5 — 1.85 54.1% —
Under 28.5 — 1.88 53.2% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.90 34.5% 2.80 35.7% 11.00 9.1% 2.87 34.8%
1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.01 99.0% 1.33 75.2%
Match center
McCormick T
W W W W L
22.07 18:05 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Champaign, IL 🇺🇸, hard
McCormick T 2:1 McNally K. 🇺🇸
18.07 21:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Rochester, NY 🇺🇸, clay
McCormick T 2:0 Gaines Jr J. 🇺🇸
18.07 16:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Rochester, NY 🇺🇸, clay
McCormick T 2:0 Willwerth B. 🇺🇸Willwerth B. 🇺🇸
16.07 20:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Rochester, NY 🇺🇸, clay
McCormick T 2:0 Sayed S
09.07 13:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bogota (Colombia), clay
McCormick T 1:2 Mena F. 🇦🇷Mena F. 🇦🇷
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Almazan Valiente I
L W W L L
18.07 16:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Pozoblanko (Spain), hard
Almazan Valiente I 1:2 Santilyan A. 🇯🇵Santilyan A. 🇯🇵
16.07 19:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Pozoblanko (Spain), hard
Almazan Valiente I 2:0 Palan D. 🇨🇿Palan D. 🇨🇿
12.07 14:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Pozoblanko (Spain) - Qualifying, hard
Almazan Valiente I 2:1 Heredia S. 🇨🇴Heredia S. 🇨🇴
30.06 10:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Troyes (France), clay
Almazan Valiente I 0:2 Caniato C. A. 🇮🇹
30.05 07:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Monastir 20 (Tunisia), hard
Almazan Valiente I 1:2 Sakhtali T. (Alzh)Sakhtali T. (Alzh)
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage