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ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard
03.08.2026 19:00 UTC

Roche Alcaya P. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ - Castellanos Y. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Roche Alcaya P. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ meet Castellanos Y. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ on August 3, 2026 in the ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard.

Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Roche Alcaya P. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ β€” 52%

1 Β· Roche Alcaya P. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ52.4%
2 Β· Castellanos Y. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ47.6%

Model estimate: win Roche Alcaya P. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 52.4%, win Castellanos Y. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 47.6%. Model favourite β€” Roche Alcaya P. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Roche Alcaya P. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ (odds1.25) Score 2:1 confidence 52%
  • • Roche Alcaya P
  • • πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ β€” Castellanos Y
  • • πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ (tennis)
  • • Roche Alcaya P
  • • πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ: forma PVVPV (3-2)
  • • Model backs Roche Alcaya P
  • • πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ: probability 52% vs 80% on the line (odds 1.25)
  • • no edge over the line (-28 pp) β€” informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Roche Alcaya P. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ - Castellanos Y. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Roche Alcaya P. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.25 / 2 3.33

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.0%
1 72.7%
2 27.3%

Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M25+H Tauste (Spain), hard hard 03.08.2026 19:00 UTC Not started
03.08.2026 19:00 UTC Not started
R
Roche Alcaya P. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ
C
Castellanos Y. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ
-:-
Odds
P1 1.25 72.7% BetBoom
P2 3.33 27.3% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 03.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 72.7% @ 1.25 / 2 27.3% @ 3.33
Coverage hard
Form 3 matches
Match center

Roche Alcaya P. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ - Castellanos Y. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Roche Alcaya P. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 72.7% 52.4% market and model agree
Castellanos Y. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 27.3% 47.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 52.4% / 47.6% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Roche Alcaya P. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ / Castellanos Y. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.33 market consensus Β· weak value +58.5% Β· model 47.6%
1 1.25 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 52.4%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
1.25 80.0%
3.33 30.0%
Match center
Roche Alcaya P. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ
L W W L W
19.05 08:40 UTC+0 ITF M25 Mataro Men
Roche Alcaya P. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 1:2 Vicente Alcaraz Galbis
18.05 11:00 UTC+0 ITF M25 Mataro Men
Roche Alcaya P. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 2:1 Luka Talan Lopatič
17.05 07:30 UTC+0 ITF M25 Mataro Men
Roche Alcaya P. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 2:0 Carlos MartΓ­nez Garzon
12.05 07:43 UTC+0 ITF M25 Vic Men
Roche Alcaya P. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 0:2 Liam Delicata
10.05 07:00 UTC+0 ITF M25 Vic Men
Roche Alcaya P. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 2:0 Ioannis Stamatopoulos
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Castellanos Y. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ
L W W
19.05 08:40 UTC+0 ITF M25 Mataro Men
Castellanos Y. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 1:2 Vicente Alcaraz Galbis
18.05 11:00 UTC+0 ITF M25 Mataro Men
Castellanos Y. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 2:1 Luka Talan Lopatič
17.05 07:30 UTC+0 ITF M25 Mataro Men
Castellanos Y. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 2:0 Carlos MartΓ­nez Garzon
2 Wins
1 Losses
1.7 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
67% Win percentage