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ITF Men - Singles: M25 Hillcrest (South Africa), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Hillcrest (South Africa), hard
15.07.2026 06:00 UTC Match prediction

Doig C. 🇿🇦 - Van Der Merwe M. 🇿🇦

Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M25 Hillcrest (South Africa), hard
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Hillcrest (South Africa), hard hard 15.07.2026 06:00 UTC Finished
15.07.2026 06:00 UTC Finished
D
Doig C. 🇿🇦
V
Van Der Merwe M. 🇿🇦
2:0
Odds
P1 2.40 39.6% BetBoom
P2 1.57 60.5% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Van Der Merwe M. 🇿🇦 — 59%

Pure model vs market (2 · Van Der Merwe M. 🇿🇦): model 48% · market 13% Δ +35 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Doig C. 🇿🇦40.9%
market87%
2 · Van Der Merwe M. 🇿🇦59.1%
market13%

Model estimate: win Doig C. 🇿🇦 40.9%, win Van Der Merwe M. 🇿🇦 59.1%. Model favourite — Van Der Merwe M. 🇿🇦.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Van Der Merwe M. 🇿🇦 (odds1.57) confidence 55% ✗ outcome missed

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Doig C. 🇿🇦 - Van Der Merwe M. 🇿🇦 15 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Doig C. 🇿🇦.

Line favourite Fonbet: Doig C. 🇿🇦. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 6.90
  • Glicko: Doig C. 🇿🇦 40.9% / Van Der Merwe M. 🇿🇦 59.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.6%
1 86.9%
2 13.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 15.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
Match center

Doig C. 🇿🇦 - Van Der Merwe M. 🇿🇦

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 2/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Doig C. 🇿🇦 39.7% 40.9%
Van Der Merwe M. 🇿🇦 60.3% 59.1% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 40.9% / 59.1% probabilities
Rating 1,754 / 1,512 Doig C. 🇿🇦 / Van Der Merwe M. 🇿🇦
RD 242 / 199 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,271-2,237 / 1,113-1,910 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.90 Fonbet · weak value +307.8% · model 59.1%
1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 40.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 2.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
П1 +2.5 1.94 51.6% —
П1 -0.5 — 1.85 54.1%
П1 -1.5 — 1.83 54.6%
П1 -2.5 — 1.82 55.0%
П1 -3.5 — 1.80 55.6%
П1 -4.5 — 1.90 52.6%
П1 -5.5 — 1.25 80.0%
П1 -6.5 — 3.05 32.8%
П2 +0.5 — 1.88 53.2%
П2 +1.5 — 1.90 52.6%
П2 -0.5 — 1.85 54.1%
П2 -1.5 — 1.87 53.5%
П2 -2.5 1.77 56.5% 1.88 53.2%
П2 -3.5 — 1.90 52.6%
П2 -4.5 — 1.80 55.6%
П2 -5.5 — 3.40 29.4%
П2 -6.5 — 1.30 76.9%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 17.5 — 1.30 76.9%
ТБ 18.5 — 2.75 36.4%
ТБ 20.5 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 21.5 — 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 22.5 — 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 23.5 — 1.90 52.6%
ТМ 17.5 — 3.15 31.8%
ТМ 18.5 — 1.40 71.4%
ТМ 20.5 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6%
ТМ 21.5 — 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 22.5 — 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 23.5 — 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 2.25 44.4% 2.37 42.2% 2.40 41.7% 1.04 96.2% 2.27 44.1%
П2 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.51 66.2% 6.90 14.5% 1.52 65.8%
Match center
Doig C. 🇿🇦
L W
08.07 08:00 UTC+0 ЮНОШИ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Уимблдон (Великобритания), трава
Doig C. 🇿🇦 1:2 Kisimov D. (Бол)
05.07 09:30 UTC+0 ЮНОШИ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Уимблдон (Великобритания), трава
Doig C. 🇿🇦 2:0 Гонсалес Э. (Исп)
1 Wins
1 Losses
1.5 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
50% Win percentage
Van Der Merwe M. 🇿🇦
L L W W
02.07 06:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Hillcrest (Южная Африка), хард
Van Der Merwe M. 🇿🇦 0:2 Shimanov O. (Изр)Shimanov O. (Изр)
01.06 06:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Centurion 2 (Южная Африка) - квалификация, хард
Van Der Merwe M. 🇿🇦 0:2 Кимхи О. (Изр)
31.05 08:25 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Centurion 2 (Южная Африка) - квалификация, хард
Van Der Merwe M. 🇿🇦 2:0 ван Шалквик К. Г. (Нам)
24.05 11:30 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Centurion (Южная Африка) - квалификация, хард
Van Der Merwe M. 🇿🇦 2:0 Кимхи О. (Изр)
2 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
50% Win percentage