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ITF Men - Singles: M25 Londrina (Brazil), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Londrina (Brazil), clay
04.08.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

Sakamoto P - De Almeida G R

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ITF Men - Singles: M25 Londrina (Brazil), clay
ITF Men - Singles: M25 Londrina (Brazil), clay clay 04.08.2026 20:00 UTC Finished
04.08.2026 20:00 UTC Finished
S
Sakamoto P
D
De Almeida G R
0:2 3:6 0:6
1 2 GP
Sakamoto P 3 0 0
De Almeida G R 6 6 2
1 2
Odds
P1 2.60 36.1% BetBoom
P2 1.47 63.9% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0

Sakamoto P meet De Almeida G R on August 4, 2026 in the ITF Men - Singles: M25 Londrina (Brazil), clay.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 37% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 De Almeida G R — 63%

Pure model vs market (2 · De Almeida G R): model 54% · market 64% Δ −10 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Sakamoto P37.1%
market36%
2 · De Almeida G R ✓ Pick62.9%
market64%

Model estimate: win Sakamoto P 37.1%, win De Almeida G R 62.9%. Model favourite — De Almeida G R.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2De Almeida G R (odds1.70) Score 1:2 confidence 54% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Sakamoto P
  • • 🇧🇷 — Ribeiro de Almeida G
  • • 🇧🇷 (tennis)
  • • Sakamoto P
  • • 🇧🇷: forma PPV (1-2)
  • • Ribeiro de Almeida G
  • • 🇧🇷: forma PVPVV (3-2)
  • • Model backs Ribeiro de Almeida G
  • • 🇧🇷: probability 54% vs 59% on the line (odds 1.70)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sakamoto P - De Almeida G R August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like De Almeida G R.

Line favourite market consensus: De Almeida G R. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.60 / 2 1.47
  • Glicko: Sakamoto P 37.1% / De Almeida G R 62.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0% 3 books · best price +2.1%
1 36.1%
2 ✓ Pick 63.9%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Sakamoto P

no data

De Almeida G R
7-3WLWWLLWWWW
scored 1.4conceded 0.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 04.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Market 1 36.1% @ 2.60 / 2 63.9% @ 1.47
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Sakamoto P - De Almeida G R

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Sakamoto P De Almeida G R Result
Set 1 3 6 3:6
Set 2 0 6 0:6
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sakamoto P 36.1% 37.1%
De Almeida G R 63.9% 62.9% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 37.1% / 62.9% probabilities
Rating 1,451 / 1,647 Sakamoto P / De Almeida G R
RD 235 / 193 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 981-1,922 / 1,262-2,032 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.44 market consensus · no value · model 62.9%
1 2.54 market consensus · no value · model 37.1%
Total
Over 21.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 21.5 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
1.77 56.5%
1.94 51.6%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
Over 21.5 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
Under 21.5 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
2.50 40.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.51 39.8%
1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.42 70.4%
Match center
Sakamoto P
L L W
07.07 18:40 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Bogota (Colombia), clay
Sakamoto P 0:2 Makkormik T. 🇺🇸
30.06 17:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Kito (Ecuador), clay
Sakamoto P 1:2 Magadan A. (Mek)Magadan A. (Mek)
24.05 07:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Koshitse (Slovakia) - Qualifying, clay
Sakamoto P 2:0 Angelini LAngelini L
1 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.3 Sets lost
33% Win percentage
De Almeida G R
L W L W W
30.06 20:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Kito (Ecuador), clay
De Almeida G R 0:2 Heredia S. 🇨🇴Heredia S. 🇨🇴
14.06 20:15 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Asuncion 2 (Paraguay) - Qualifying, clay
De Almeida G R 2:0 Del Pino M
05.06 17:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Cuiaba (Brazil), clay
De Almeida G R 1:2 Zarate C. M. 🇦🇷Zarate C. M. 🇦🇷
04.06 17:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Cuiaba (Brazil), clay
De Almeida G R 2:0 Heredia S. 🇨🇴Heredia S. 🇨🇴
02.06 17:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Cuiaba (Brazil), clay
De Almeida G R 2:0 Estevez J. 🇦🇷Estevez J. 🇦🇷
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage