Basile A - Freyre da Silva A. 🇫🇷
About the athletes
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Freyre da Silva A. 🇫🇷 — 57%
Pure model vs market (2 · Freyre da Silva A. 🇫🇷): model 53% · market 10% Δ +43 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Basile A 42.9%, win Freyre da Silva A. 🇫🇷 57.1%. Model favourite — Freyre da Silva A. 🇫🇷.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Basile A - Freyre da Silva A. 🇫🇷 14 июля 2026
Tennis math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Basile A.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 9.00
- Glicko: Basile A 42.9% / Freyre da Silva A. 🇫🇷 57.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Basile A - Freyre da Silva A. 🇫🇷
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| П1 +2.5 | 1.81 55.3% | — |
| П1 -2.5 | — | 1.83 54.6% |
| П1 -3.5 | — | 1.67 59.9% |
| П1 -4.5 | — | 1.83 54.6% |
| П1 -5.5 | — | 1.88 53.2% |
| П1 -6.5 | — | 1.13 88.5% |
| П1 -7.5 | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| П2 +0.5 | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 +1.5 | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| П2 +2.5 | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 +3.5 | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| П2 -2.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 -3.5 | — | 2.07 48.3% |
| П2 -4.5 | — | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 -5.5 | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| П2 -6.5 | — | 4.80 20.8% |
| П2 -7.5 | — | 1.75 57.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| ТБ 16.5 | — | 1.68 59.5% |
| ТБ 17.5 | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 19.5 | — | 4.30 23.3% |
| ТБ 20.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 2.50 40.0% |
| ТБ 21.5 | — | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 22.5 | — | 1.88 53.2% |
| ТБ 23.5 | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 24.5 | — | 1.88 53.2% |
| ТБ 25.5 | — | 1.88 53.2% |
| ТМ 16.5 | — | 2.07 48.3% |
| ТМ 17.5 | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТМ 19.5 | — | 1.16 86.2% |
| ТМ 20.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.47 68.0% |
| ТМ 21.5 | — | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТМ 22.5 | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| ТМ 23.5 | — | 1.80 55.6% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 2.20 45.5% | 1.03 97.1% | 2.14 46.7% |
| П2 | 1.60 62.5% | 9.00 11.1% | 1.58 63.3% |
Balducci L. (Ита)
Full head-to-head historyBasile A - Freyre da Silva A. 🇫🇷