PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard
16.07.2026 04:00 UTC Match prediction

Belyaeva D. (World) - Matsuda R. 🇯🇵

Tennis ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard hard 16.07.2026 04:00 UTC Finished
16.07.2026 04:00 UTC Finished
B
Belyaeva D. (World)
W
M
Matsuda R. 🇯🇵
W
0:2
Odds
P1 3.90 23.8% BetBoom
P2 1.22 76.2% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
1 H2H 1

Head-to-head history

ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W15 Astana (Казахстан), хард
  Belyaeva D. (Мир) 0 0
  Мацуда Р. (Япо) 1 2
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Matsuda R. 🇯🇵 — 73%

Pure model vs market (2 · Matsuda R. 🇯🇵): model 51% · market 76% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Belyaeva D. (World)26.8%
market24%
2 · Matsuda R. 🇯🇵 ✓ Прогноз73.2%
market76%

Model estimate: win Belyaeva D. (World) 26.8%, win Matsuda R. 🇯🇵 73.2%. Model favourite — Matsuda R. 🇯🇵.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Matsuda R. 🇯🇵 (odds1.22) Score 1:2 confidence 51% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Belyaeva D
  • • (Мир) — Мацуда Р
  • • (Япо) (теннис)
  • • Belyaeva D
  • • (Мир): форма ВП (1-1)
  • • Мацуда Р
  • • (Япо): форма ВППВВ (3-2)
  • • очные 0-1 (за 1)
  • • Модель ставит на Мацуда Р
  • • (Япо): вероятность 51% против 82% по линии (кэф 1.22)
  • ✓ перевеса над линией нет (-31 пп) — прогноз информационный.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Belyaeva D. (World) - Matsuda R. 🇯🇵 16 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Matsuda R. 🇯🇵.

Line favourite market consensus: Matsuda R. 🇯🇵. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 3.90 / 2 1.22
  • Glicko: Belyaeva D. (World) 26.8% / Matsuda R. 🇯🇵 73.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.6%
1 23.8%
2 ✓ Прогноз 76.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 16.07.2026 04:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 5 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Belyaeva D. (World) - Matsuda R. 🇯🇵

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 1 очных встреч.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Belyaeva D. (World) 24.3% 26.8%
Matsuda R. 🇯🇵 75.7% 73.2% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 26.8% / 73.2% probabilities
Rating 1,483 / 1,575 Belyaeva D. (World) / Matsuda R. 🇯🇵
RD 234 / 134 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,015-1,951 / 1,306-1,843 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 73.2%
1 3.76 market consensus · no value · model 26.8%
Total
Over 18.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Over 19.5 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
П1 +5.5 1.82 55.0% 1.77 56.5%
П2 -5.5 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
ТБ 18.5 — 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 19.5 1.94 51.6% 1.91 52.4%
ТМ 18.5 — 1.95 51.3%
ТМ 19.5 1.77 56.5% 1.73 57.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 3.58 27.9%
П2 1.22 82.0% 1.21 82.6% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Belyaeva D. (World)
W
15.07 05:30 UTC ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard
Belyaeva D. (World) 2:0 Kuznetsova M. (World)
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Matsuda R. 🇯🇵
W
15.07 04:00 UTC ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard
Matsuda R. 🇯🇵 2:0 Suslova S. (World)
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBelyaeva D. (World) - Matsuda R. 🇯🇵

Belyaeva D. (World)
1 matches total
Matsuda R. 🇯🇵
Belyaeva D. (World): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Matsuda R. 🇯🇵: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Мацуда Р. (Япо) 0:2 (08.07 05:00 UTC+0) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 08.07 05:00 UTC+0) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

08.07 05:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W15 Astana (Казахстан), хард
Belyaeva D. (Мир)
0:2
Мацуда Р. (Япо)