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ITF Women - Singles: W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas (Spain), clay
ITF Women - Singles: W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas (Spain), clay
30.07.2026 06:30 UTC Match prediction

Gallardo Guevara C - Curmi F

Tennis ITF Women - Singles: W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas (Spain), clay
ITF Women - Singles: W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas (Spain), clay clay 30.07.2026 06:30 UTC Finished
30.07.2026 06:30 UTC Finished
G
Gallardo Guevara C
W
C
Curmi F
W
0:2
Odds
P1 5.10 18.3% BetBoom
P2 1.14 81.7% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Curmi F — 78%

Pure model vs market (2 · Curmi F): model 45% · market 82% Δ −37 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Gallardo Guevara C22.0%
market18%
2 · Curmi F ✓ Pick78.0%
market82%

Model estimate: win Gallardo Guevara C 22.0%, win Curmi F 78.0%. Model favourite — Curmi F.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Gallardo Guevara C (odds3.27) Score 2:1 confidence 55% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Gallardo Guevara C
  • • 🇪🇸 — Kurmi F
  • • 🇲🇹 (tennis)
  • • Gallardo Guevara C
  • • 🇪🇸: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Kurmi F
  • • 🇲🇹: forma VPVPV (3-2)
  • • Model backs Gallardo Guevara C
  • • 🇪🇸: probability 55% vs 31% on the line (odds 3.27)
  • • edge over the line +24 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gallardo Guevara C - Curmi F July 30, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Curmi F.

Line favourite market consensus: Curmi F. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 5.10 / 2 1.14
  • Glicko: Gallardo Guevara C 22.0% / Curmi F 78.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.3%
1 18.3%
2 ✓ Pick 81.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 30.07.2026 06:30 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Gallardo Guevara C - Curmi F

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 78.0% fact: away hit / ROI 14.0% / Brier 0.097 / LogLoss 0.249
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage away - 53.4% fact: away hit / ROI 14.0% / Brier 0.435 / LogLoss 0.628
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Gallardo Guevara C 18.4% 22.0%
Curmi F 81.7% 78.0% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 22.0% / 78.0% probabilities
Rating 1,789 / 1,724 Gallardo Guevara C / Curmi F
RD 173 / 135 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,443-2,134 / 1,454-1,993 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.14 market consensus · no value · model 78.0%
1 5.05 market consensus · no value · model 22.0%
Total
Over 18.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Under 18.5 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8%
2.03 49.3% 2.02 49.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 18.5 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8%
Under 18.5 1.85 54.1% 1.77 56.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
5.10 19.6% 5.00 20.0%
1.13 88.5% 1.14 87.7%
Match center
Gallardo Guevara C
W
28.07 08:00 UTC ITF Women - Singles: W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas (Spain), clay
Gallardo Guevara C 2:1 Zhorge M. 🇵🇹
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Curmi F
W
29.07 09:30 UTC ITF Women - Singles: W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas (Spain), clay
Curmi F 2:0 Zhorzhe F. 🇵🇹
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage