ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard

Suslova S. (World) - Matsuda R

Tennis ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard
ITF Women - Singles: W15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan), hard hard 15.07.2026 04:00 UTC Finished
15.07.2026 04:00 UTC Finished
Suslova S. (World)
Suslova S. (World)
M
Matsuda R
0:2
Odds
P1 11.00 8.6% BetBoom
P2 1.03 91.4% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Matsuda R87%

Pure model vs market (2 · Matsuda R): model 51% · market 91% Δ −40 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Suslova S. (World)12.6%
market9%
2 · Matsuda R ✓ Прогноз87.4%
market91%

Model estimate: win Suslova S. (World) 12.6%, win Matsuda R 87.4%. Model favourite — Matsuda R.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Matsuda R (odds1.03) confidence 74% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Suslova S. (World) - Matsuda R 15 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Matsuda R.

Line favourite market consensus: Matsuda R. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 11.00 / 2 1.03
  • Glicko: Suslova S. (World) 12.6% / Matsuda R 87.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 8.6%
2 ✓ Прогноз 91.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 15.07.2026 04:00 UTC
Coverage hard
Form 3 matches
Match center

Suslova S. (World) - Matsuda R

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Suslova S. (World) 8.6% 12.6%
Matsuda R 91.4% 87.4% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 12.6% / 87.4% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,610 Suslova S. (World) / Matsuda R
RD 350 / 144 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,322-1,899 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 market consensus · no value · model 87.4%
1 9.35 market consensus · no value · model 12.6%
Total
Over 16.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Under 16.5 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
П1 +7.5 1.84 54.4% 1.78 56.2%
П2 -7.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
ТБ 16.5 1.78 56.2% 1.72 58.1%
ТМ 16.5 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 11.00 9.1% 9.40 10.6% 9.30 10.8%
П2 1.01 99.0% 1.03 97.1% 1.01 99.0%
Match center
Suslova S. (World)
L W W
09.07 00:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Tokyo 4 (Япония), хард
Suslova S. (World) 0:2 Matsuda K. (Япо)Matsuda K. (Япо)
08.07 05:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W15 Astana (Казахстан), хард
Suslova S. (World) 2:0 Belyaeva D. (Мир)
08.07 00:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Tokyo 4 (Япония), хард
Suslova S. (World) 2:0 Oki Y. (Япо)Oki Y. (Япо)
2 Wins
1 Losses
1.3 Sets won
0.7 Sets lost
67% Win percentage
Matsuda R
L W W L L
09.07 00:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Tokyo 4 (Япония), хард
Matsuda R 0:2 Matsuda K. (Япо)Matsuda K. (Япо)
08.07 05:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W15 Astana (Казахстан), хард
Matsuda R 2:0 Belyaeva D. (Мир)
08.07 00:30 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Tokyo 4 (Япония), хард
Matsuda R 2:0 Oki Y. (Япо)Oki Y. (Япо)
01.07 01:00 UTC+0 ITF МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: M15 Tokyo 3 (Япония), хард
Matsuda R 1:2 Oki Y. (Япо)Oki Y. (Япо)
30.05 02:00 UTC+0 ITF ЖЕНЩИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: W15 Fukui (Япония), хард
Matsuda R 0:2 Абе Х. (Япо)
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage